Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/08/2021

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Monday, November 8, 2021

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat -2, Nuggets +2; Over/Under:  207 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat -1.5, Nuggets +1.5; Over/Under:  206.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat -1.5, Nuggets +1.5; Over/Under:  206.5 points

 

Miami Heat:  7-2 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Denver Nuggets:  5-4 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

 

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Miami Heat:  7-2 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  5-4 last 10

 

 

 

The Heat are coming into this game with a 7-2 record overall and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 6 of their last 7 matchups with their last loss coming against the Boston Celtics. They are coming into this one on Monday night off of a win in their last game against the Utah Jazz 118-115. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game off the bench with 29 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 27 points. Kyle Lowry also posted 20 points himself in that one. Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 10 and he also led the team in rebounds with 12. Their shooting was really good in that game as they were 60.3% from the field, 52.4% with their 3-pointers, and 76.5% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 111.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 100.2 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 7-2 this season and their O/U record is 4-5.

 

 

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 5-4 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this NBA season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games with both of those losses coming against the Memphis Grizzlies but they are coming into this one off of a win in their last game against the Houston Rockets 95-94. Nikola Jokic led the team in points in that game with 28 while Will Barton was next on the team with 15 points. Jokic pretty much carried the offense all by himself yet again, which has been a very common theme for them in this season. Barton led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jokic led the team in rebounds with 14. Their shooting could have used some work in that game as they were 40.4% from the field, 22.5% with their 3-pointers, and 82.4% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 100.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 98.8 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-6 this season and their O/U record is 1-8.

 

 

The Nuggets are coming into this contest as a 2 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat are coming off of a massive win against the Jazz giving them their 2nd loss of the season. This could be a let down game for them and now they are going to Denver where the air is thin and it is much tougher to play there. The Nuggets have not been playing well recently and they will be looking for a convincing win in this game to get back on track. The best bet to place in this game is on the Nuggets to cover the spread and on the Nuggets to win this game straight up on the moneyline.

 

Heat Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, November 8, 2021 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 97 Heat 92.

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Miami Heat: 290-253 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 1100-1073 ATS in all games. 198-173 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5. 672-657 ATS as a favorite. 249-212 ATS as a road favorite. 553-512 ATS in road games. 366-344 ATS after a non-conference game.

Denver Nuggets: 260-229 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 1043-996 O/U in all games. 542-526 O/U as an underdog. 513-486 O/U in home games. 88-76 O/U against Southeast division opponents.

 

 

Miami Heat:  K. Okpala (SF) Ques Mon - Ankle injury. M. Strus (PG) Out indefinitely - Back injury. V. Oladipo (SG) Mid Nov - Quadricep injury.

Denver Nuggets:  M. Porter Jr. (PF) Ques Mon - Back injury. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. J. Murray (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.

 

 

 

"At the end of the day, I think all these experiences, particularly for a semi-new team early in the season, are really important to go through. Late-game situations, learning how to hold onto a lead, how to play ... I just think it was really important to go through that. Obviously, it's always better if you can do that and get a win." - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win over the Jazz on saturday.

 

 

"There's no easy game for us." - Nikola Jokic after his team’s 1 point win over the Rockets on Saturday night.

 

 

 

PG     Kyle Lowry

SG     Duncan Robinson

SF     Jimmy Butler

PF     P.J. Tucker

C     Bam Adebayo

 

PG    Monte Morris

SG    Will Barton

SF     Michael Porter Jr.

PF    Aaron Gordon

C     Nikola Jokic

 

 

PPG: J. Butler (24.7)

APG: K. Lowry (7.5)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (12)

 

PPG: N. Jokic (25.4)

APG: N. Jokic (5.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.4)

 

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)