Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/13/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, February 13, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  KFAA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat -1.5, Mavericks +1.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Miami Heat:  25-26 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  28-26 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  5-5 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 25-26 record overall this season and they are 12-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Brooklyn Nets and the Boston Celtics, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Oklahoma City Thunder still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Celtics, Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 22 while Alec Burks was next on the team with 13 points. Andrew Wiggins and Duncan Robinson each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 33.7% from the field, 24.4% from 3-point range, and 92.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 21-30 this season and their O/U record is 27-24.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 28-26 record overall this season and they are 15-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Sacramento Kings, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Golden State Warriors still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Kings, Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 30 while Spencer Dinwiddie was next on the team with 20 points. Kyrie Irving led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kyrie Irving led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.6% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 27-25-2 this season and their O/U record is 29-25.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 28-26 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West, but they are sitting in a play-in spot at the moment. They have looked good on their home court this year too, but they haven't been a great home team with their 15-11 home record. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked great in their games this season with their 25-26 record overall, but that record has them right in the middle of the East and on the cusp of a true playoff spot, holding down the first play-in spot at the moment. They haven't been a good road team though with their 12-15 road record. They are only 4-6 in their last 10 games and they haven't looked good lately with 2 losses in a row now. The Mavericks are also coming off a loss in their last one, but they still sent that game to OT and have been slightly better lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games. Both of these teams are in a bad situation here since both are playing this game on a back-to-back. The Mavericks have a tough game against the Warriors which will take a lot out of them, Klay Thompson going up against his former team, but the Heat are playing the best team in the NBA right now, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and they will still have to travel after so the Mavs have the advantage there. The Mavericks haven't been the same since trading away Luka Doncic and now they have lost Anthony Davis for a few weeks, but they still have more talent than the Heat now that Jimmy Butler is gone so look for the Mavericks to get a win here and go into the break on a good note. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 13, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 116 Heat 109.

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Miami Heat: 22-13 ATS on the road off a road loss. 34-25 ATS on the road versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 32-19 UNDER as a road favorite. 20-12 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive unders. 

Dallas Mavericks: 1-10 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 18-28 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 21-12 UNDER at home when the line is +3 to -3. 9-2 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog. 

Miami Heat:  K. Love (PF) Out - Personal. T. Herro (SG) Day To Day - Illness. J. Jaquez (SF) Day To Day - Illness. D. Smith Out For Season - Achilles.

Dallas Mavericks:  D. Exum (PG) Day To Day - Achilles. D. Gafford (PF) Out - Knee. P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. D. Powell (C) Out - Hip. A. Davis (PF) Out - Groin. C. Martin (SF) Out - Hip. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle.

“I see the potential in all three of them. I think they can be big-time value adds to what we’re trying to do. We want to get them as comfortable as possible.” - Erik Spoelstra on acquiring Kyle Anderson, Davion Mitchell, and Andrew Wiggins from the Golden State Warriors.

“People are going to say stuff. That’s understandable. I was a fan. Still a fan. If I didn’t agree with a trade, I would probably voice my opinion, too.” - Klay Thompson on the fans being upset with the team. 

PG Tyler Herro

SG Duncan Robinson

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PG Kyrie Irving

SG Klay Thompson

SF Dante Exum 

PF Naji Marshall

C P.J. Washington

PPG: T. Herro (23.7)

APG: T. Herro (5.6)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10)

PPG: A. Davis (25.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.9)

Reb/G: A. Davis (12)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)