Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/23/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Venue:  Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +12, Cavaliers -12; Over/Under:  215 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +12, Cavaliers -12; Over/Under:  214 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +12.5, Cavaliers -12.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Miami Heat:  37-45 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

Cleveland Cavaliers:  64-18 (1st place, Central Division)

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Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

Cleveland Cavaliers:  6-4 last 10

The Heat are entering the playoffs with a 37-45 record overall this season and they were 17-23 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 24 while Tyler Herro was next on the team with 21 points. Davion Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 48.8% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 40-44-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-39.

The Cavaliers are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 34-7 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Miami Heat. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 30 while Ty Jerome was next on the team with 28 points. Darius Garland led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jarrett Allen led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 51.1% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 49-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 52-31.

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 12 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Cavaliers and the 8th seeded Heat from the Eastern Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Cavaliers are leading this series 1-0 after game 1. The Cavaliers took a 1-0 series lead after winning the 1st game at home 121-100. They had the best record in the East this season and one of the best records in the entire NBA, and they continued their dominance into this series. The Cavaliers had a big advantage in this series since they had the week off to rest key players while the Heat had to play in the play-in tournament. The Heat looked great in those games and crushed both of their opponents to earn this number 8 seed, but they were still a 37-45 team overall this season and it showed in that 1st game. The Heat were able to get by the play-in tournament beating up on bad team due to how weak the East was, but the Heat are also a bad team themselves and they don't have a ton of talent anymore after losing Jimmy Butler in a trade earlier this season. The Cavaliers took an early lead in that game 1 and pretty much led the whole way, really pulling away in the 4th quarter as they closed out the game. The Cavaliers have been rolling over bad teams all year and they have one of the best home records in the entire NBA while the Heat have been a bad road team this year with their 17-23 road record. The Heat just don't have the talent to keep up with a team like the Cavs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 23, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 114 Heat 90.

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Miami Heat: 6-14 ATS against Central division opponents. 12-18 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 19-32 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 14-6 OVER against Central division opponents. 11-6 OVER after scoring 100 points or less.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 5-1 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 22-11 ATS off a home win. 12-4 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 47-27 OVER as a favorite. 5-0 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5.

Miami Heat:  K. Love (PF) Day To Day - Personal. D. Smith (PG) Out For Season - Achilles.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  None.

“They were a lot more physical than us and that obviously set the tone. We’ve got to clean that up. It’s not going to be any easier." - Tyler Herro after their loss against the Cavaliers in game 1 of this series on Sunday.

“He can get in the lane and finish and he's a great shooter. Such a complete player. Whatever we ask him to do, he'll do it. He never shies away when we ask him to do the dirty work.” - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s win against the Heat in game 1 of this series on Sunday.

PG Tyler Herro 

SG Alec Burks

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PG Darius Garland

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Max Strus

PF Evan Mobley

C Jarrett Allen

PPG: T. Herro (23.9)

APG: T. Herro (5.5)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.6)

PPG: D. Mitchell (24)

APG: D. Garland (6.7)

Reb/G: J. Allen (9.7)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)

Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (1st season)