Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/20/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 20, 2024

Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH 

Where to Watch:  BSOH

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +3, Cavaliers -3; Over/Under:  203.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +3, Cavaliers -3; Over/Under:  203.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +3, Cavaliers -3; Over/Under:  203.5 points

Miami Heat:  37-31 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

Cleveland Cavaliers:  43-25 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Cavaliers:  5-5 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 37-31 record overall and they are 20-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Bam Adebayo and Terry Rozier each led the team in points in that game with 20 while Caleb Martin was next on the team with 13 points. Bam Adebayo led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 39.3% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 32-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 24-44.

The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 43-25 record overall and they are 22-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Jarrett Allen and Caris LeVert each led the team in points in that game with 23 while Marcus Morris Sr. was next on the team with 14 points. Caris LeVert led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Jarrett Allen led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 47.5% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.5 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 34-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 30-37-1.

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have looked really good in their games this season with their 43-25 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 22-13 home record. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 37-31 record overall, but that record also has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East. They have been a good road team this year with their 20-16 road record but they have also been a really up and down team over the last few weeks as they have been up and down in the standings. They haven't looked good in their games lately either with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games and coming off a loss in their last one. The Cavaliers have been slightly hotter coming into this one with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games and they have more momentum on their side with a win in their last one too. With both of these teams missing some key players for this game too, the edge is with the Cavaliers on their home court where they have been so good this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game.

Heat Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 20, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 116 Heat 108.

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Miami Heat: 5-10 ATS against Central division opponents. 4-11 ATS off a road loss. 5-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 44-24 UNDER in all games. 17-5 UNDER as a road underdog. 28-15 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 9-5 ATS after a division game. 6-3 ATS off a win against a division rival. 17-9 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games. 27-17 UNDER after a division game. 16-5 UNDER off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more. 

Miami Heat:  D. Robinson (SF) Ques Wed - Back. N. Jovic (SF) Ques Wed - Hamstring. T. Herro (SG) Early April - Knee. K. Love (PF) Late March - Heel. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  D. Mitchell (SG) Early April - Nose. D. Wade (SF) Ques Wed - Knee. E. Mobley (C) Late March - Ankle. M. Strus (PG) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

“We’re not thinking about last year, not thinking about any of the narratives.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the 76ers in their game on Monday.

“It took toughness. It took resilience. It took togetherness to make sure that we never splintered, even with adversity and ups and downs.” - J.B Bickerstaff after his team’s win against the Pacers in their game on Monday.

PG Terry Rozier

SG Patty Mills

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Nikola Jovic

C Bam Adebayo

PG Darius Garland

SG Caris LeVert

SF Isaac Okoro

PF Georges Niang

C Jarrett Allen

PPG: J. Butler (21.4)

APG: T. Rozier (6.1)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.6)

PPG: D. Mitchell (27.4)

APG: D. Garland (6.3)

Reb/G: J. Allen (10.6)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)

Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (5th season)