Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/30/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Nov 29, 2022
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, November 30, 2022
Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NBA TV

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +8, Celtics -8; Over/Under:  224.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +8, Celtics -8; Over/Under:  224.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +8, Celtics -8; Over/Under:  224.5 points
 

Season Record

Miami Heat:  10-11 (3rd place, Southeast Division)
Boston Celtics:  17-4 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
 
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Recent Form
Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10
Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10

 

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Preview and Analysis

 
The Heat are coming into this game with a 10-11 record overall and they are 2-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards twice and the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 32 while Caleb Martin was next on the team with 20 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Tyler Herro led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.8% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.9 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 7-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-10.
 
 
 
The Celtics are coming into this game with a 17-4 record overall and they are 10-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Dallas Mavericks, the Sacramento Kings, the Washington Wizards, and the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 35 while Marcus Smart was next on the team with 22 points. Marcus Smart led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Luke Kornet led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 59.1% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.9 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 13-8 this season and their O/U record is 12-8-1.

 

Heat vs Celtics Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have been having a great start to the season after going all the way to the NBA Finals last season just to lose to the Warriors. They have the best record in the NBA right now and they have been crushing teams in their games as they look to prove they are the best in the league and try to get back to the Finals again. They have been playing like the best team in the league and they have been crushing teams when they play on home court too. They have also been very healthy for most of the season with a lot of their key players avoiding injury, which cannot be said about the Heat as they have had a laundry list of injuries going all the way back to last season. They managed to finish as the number 1 seed in the East last season but the Celtics look to be on a mission to prove they deserve the number 1 seed and they will hold nothing back against a shorthanded Heat team missing their best player here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game.
 
Heat Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, November 30, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 122 Heat 104.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Miami Heat: 7-13 ATS in all games. 6-1 UNDER as an underdog. 11-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive division games. 
Boston Celtics: 28-19 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 21-14 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 36-13 UNDER after a huge blowout win by 30 or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Heat:  J. Butler (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee. H. Highsmith (SF) Ques Wed - Ankle. D. Robinson (SF) Ques Wed - Ankle. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle. V. Oladipo (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Boston Celtics:  A. Horford (C) Ques Wed - Back. J. Brown (SG) Ques Wed - Neck. R. Williams III (C) Late Feb - Knee. D. Gallinari (SF) out for season - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“I feel like we’ve built a great connection. Just building that connection over four years. Man, it feels so much longer than that. It’s not only getting better on the court but it’s getting better off the court. We’re building a brotherhood.” - Bam Adebayo after their win against the Hawks in their game on Sunday.
 
 
“He’s always brought it defensively. I have full trust in him diagnosing where the matchup is, where the advantage is, and what can we do to exploit that. And he’s doing a great job anticipating that once he gets the ball." - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Hornets in their game on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Tyler Herro
SF Caleb Martin
PF Max Strus 
C Bam Adebayo
 
Boston Celtics
PG Marcus Smart
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Al Horford
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (20.9)
APG: K. Lowry (6.2)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.4)
 
Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (30.8)
APG: M. Smart (7.5)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (7.7)
 
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (1st season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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