Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/06/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, February 6, 2026

Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  FDSSU, NBCS-B

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Miami Heat:  27-25 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Boston Celtics:  33-18 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10

Boston Celtics:  7-3 last 10

The Heat are entering this game with a 27-25 record overall this season and they are 11-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Atlanta Hawks. Jaime Jaquez Jr. led the team in points in that game with 21 while Simone Fontecchio and Pelle Larsson each were next on the team with 18 points. Davion Mitchell led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 43.8% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 29-23 this season and their O/U record is 27-25.

The Celtics are entering this game with a 33-18 record overall this season and they are 16-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Dallas Mavericks, and the Houston Rockets. Derrick White led the team in points in that game with 28 while Payton Pritchard was next on the team with 27 points. Derrick White led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Neemias Queta led the team in rebounds with 19. They were 43.3% from the field, 37.3% from 3-point range, and 85% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.6 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 29-22 this season and their O/U record is 19-32.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked really good in their games this season with their 33-18 record overall which has them right near the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 16-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 27-25 record overall which has them right in the middle of the East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 11-15 road record this year. The Heat are also off a loss to the Hawks in their last one and they haven't looked great lately, going 5-5 in their last 10 games and dealing with some injuries too. The Celtics have been rolling though, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They have looked great all season considering how they are missing their best player to an injury, but they continue to find ways to win games and are even off a huge road win over a very good Rockets team in their last one. The Heat have been making some moves at the trade deadline too, but they aren't doing enough to turn this team into a contender, and the Celtics have also made some moves to improve too. Look for the Celtics to keep rolling at home against a Heat team that has struggled in road games all season and hasn't looked that great lately either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Heat Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, February 6, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 121 Heat 107.

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Miami Heat: 1-4 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 19-26 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 23-16 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 10-3 UNDER off a loss against a division rival. 

Boston Celtics: 30-22 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 20-13 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 5-1 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 9-2 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 13-7 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Miami Heat:  A. Wiggins (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring. N. Powell (SG) Day To Day - Personal. T. Herro (SG) Day To Day - Toe.

Boston Celtics:  J. Brown (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring. N. Vucevic (C) Day To Day - Not Injury Related. S. Hauser (PF) Day To Day - Thumb. C. Boucher (PF) Day To Day - Personal. J. Tatum (PF) Out - Achilles.

"We all just want to do better, and that includes the head coach. I have to do a better job with this group. We have the potential we can see, it's a matter of consistency, and that's what I'm here for. Also, to hold the young guys accountable, and we have more of them than in recent history, but also develop them and infuse confidence in them. That's a fine balance, but that's what I'm here for. I want to take that challenge and be better with that in  these final 30 games." - Erik Spoelstra on his team coming into the 2nd half of the season. 

“I thought both of those guys, Ron and Baylor, their attention to detail on the scout and what we were trying to do from a tendency standpoint, I thought they executed that. I thought those two guys’ attention to detail was really good on the defensive end.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Rockets in their game on Wednesday.

PG Davion Mitchell

SG Pelle Larsson

SF Jaime Jaquez Jr.

PF Andrew Wiggins

C Bam Adebayo

PG Payton Pritchard

SG Derrick White 

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Sam Hauser

C Nikola Vucevic

PPG: Norman Powell (23)

APG: Davion Mitchell (7.3)

Reb/G: Bam Adebayo (9.9)

PPG: Jaylen Brown (29.5)

APG: Derrick White (5.6)

Reb/G: Neemias Queta (8.3)

Coaches:

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (18th season)

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (4th season)