Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/27/2022

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Nov 26, 2022
Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 27, 2022
Venue:  State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  BSSUN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, Hawks -5.5; Over/Under:  222 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, Hawks -5.5; Over/Under:  222 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Heat +5.5, Hawks -5.5; Over/Under:  222 points
 

Season Record

Miami Heat:  9-11 (3rd place, Southeast Division)
Atlanta Hawks:  11-8 (1st place, Southeast Division)
 
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Recent Form
Miami Heat:  5-5 last 10
Atlanta Hawks:  5-5 last 10

 

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Preview and Analysis

 
The Heat are coming into this game with a 9-11 record overall and they are 1-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards in their last 2 games. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 38 while Caleb Martin was next on the team with 20 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.2% from the field, 26.9% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 108.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.5 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 6-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-9.
 
 
 
The Hawks are coming into this game with an 11-8 record overall and they are 7-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Houston Rockets in their last game. Trae Young led the team in points in that game with 44 while Dejounte Murray was next on the team with 39 points. Trae Young led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Onyeka Okongwu led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47.6% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 80.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.7 PPG against them. The Hawks have an ATS record of 8-11 this season and their O/U record is 11-8.

 

Heat vs Hawks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Hawks listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Hawks have looked really good in their games lately as they have been beating some good teams but they just took a really bad loss on the road in Houston the other night against one of the worst teams in the NBA this season. They have still looked really good in a lot of their games though and they have been an even better team on their home court. The Heat have really struggled to open up the season this year and they have been terrible in road games as they are just 1-7 this year. This is a really good home team that the Hawks have and with how well they have been playing lately, they will have no problem getting a blowout win over a division rival at home here with the struggles the Heat have had on the road and just in general this year. The Hawks are also a lot healthier than the Heat are right now and that gives the Hawks a big advantage in this game as they have been on fire at home all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Hawks to cover the spread in this game.
 
Heat Hawks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, November 27, 2022 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Hawks 121 Heat 107.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Miami Heat: 2-8 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 5-15 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins. 10-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive division games.
Atlanta Hawks: 26-14 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 16-8 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 23-11 UNDER vs. division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Miami Heat:  J. Butler (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Robinson (SF) Ques Sun - Ankle. M. Strus (PG) Ques Sun - Shoulder. O. Yurtseven (C) Mid Feb - Ankle. V. Oladipo (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Atlanta Hawks:  C. Capela (C) Ques Sun - Teeth. B. Bogdanovic (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“He had a lot on his shoulders, really the last several games with a lot of different lineups and everything. You need that stability from your leaders. I think at some point we’ll print up these shirts, ‘Mr. Reliable,’ and I’ll wear them, probably.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Friday.
 
 
“Defensively we never established that we could stop this team and when we did force them to miss they beat us to the glass with 22 offensive boards. No defense at all in this game, 122 points is enough points to win a game.” - Nate McMillan after his team’s loss against the Rockets in their game on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Miami Heat
PG Kyle Lowry
SG Tyler Herro
SF Caleb Martin
PF Max Strus 
C Bam Adebayo
 
Atlanta Hawks
PG Trae Young
SG Dejounte Murray
SF De'Andre Hunter
PF John Collins
C Clint Capela 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (20.9)
APG: J. Butler (6.1)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (9.5)
 
Atlanta Hawks
PPG: T. Young (28.6)
APG: T. Young (9.1)
Reb/G: C. Capela (11.9)
 
Coaches:
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (15th season)
Atlanta Hawks: Nate McMillan (4th season)
 


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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