Miami-FL Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/14/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Oct 13, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023
Venue:  Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL +3, UNC -3; Over/Under:  56.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL +3, UNC -3; Over/Under:  57 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL +3.5, UNC -3.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Season Record

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  4-1 (0-1) (10th place, ACC)
North Carolina Tar Heels:  5-0 (2-0) (3rd place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 81-43 his last 124 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Miami-FL Hurricanes:  lost their last game at home against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 23-20.
North Carolina Tar Heels:  won their last game at home against the Syracuse Orange 40-7.


Miami-FL Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels Preview and Analysis


Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia Tech 23-20. Tyler Van Dyke was the starting QB and he completed 24/36 passes for 288 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Donald Chaney Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 106. Xavier Restrepo led the receivers with 123 receiving yards on 12 receptions. Kamren Kinchens led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Rueben Bain Jr. and Branson Deen each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Francisco Mauigoa and James Williams each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
North Carolina is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Syracuse 40-7. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 33/47 passes for 442 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Omarion Hampton led the team in rushing yards with 78. Nate McCollum led the receivers with 135 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Cedric Gray led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Cedric Gray led the defense in sacks with 1. Alijah Huzzie and Amare Campbell each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Miami-FL vs North Carolina Prediction

The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. North Carolina has looked really good in their games this season with their 5-0 record overall but they have also been blowing out a lot of teams in their games. They just blew out Syracuse at home in their last game and now they have their 2nd home game in a row against Miami-Florida who is now 4-1 this season. Miami is only 0-1 in conference play after losing to Georgia Tech last week in a game they never should have lost. They lost the game with bad coaching decisions and it is really hard to back that kind of team in this spot with how good UNC has been playing. UNC's offense has been putting up a ton of points in their games and that will be hard for Miami to compete with after the way they lost last week. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game. 

Miami-FL North Carolina Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is UNC 34 Miami-FL 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Miami-FL Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Miami-FL Hurricanes: 9-3 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 113-73 UNDER after playing a conference game. 12-7 UNDER off an upset loss as a double digit favorite. 16-5 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. 

North Carolina Tar Heels: 1-10 ATS after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. 8-14 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 8-1 UNDER after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. 10-5 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins.

Key Injuries


Miami-FL Hurricanes:  E. Arroyo (TE) Ques Sat - Knee. A. Mesidor (DL) Ques Sat - Lower Body. J. George (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Citizen (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. S. Okunlola (OL) out for season - Lower Body. B. Deen (DL) Out indefinitely - Lower Body.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  R. Coe (PK) Ques Sat - Lower Body. J. Randolph (TE) out for season - Lower Body. R. Grigsby (OL) Out indefinitely - Lower Body.

Notable Quotes


“We should have taken a knee.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s loss against GA Tech in their last game.


“We’re playing to a standard. This was important to (our players) to get better and that’s what they did.” - Mack Brown after his team’s win against Syracuse in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Miami-FL Hurricanes
WR Young, Colbie 
WR George, Jacolby 
WR Restrepo, Xavier 
TE McCormick, Cam
QB Van Dyke, Tyler 
RB Parrish Jr., Henry

North Carolina Tar Heels
WR Walker, Devontez 
WR Jones, J.J.   
WR Paysour, Kobe 
TE Copenhaver, John 
QB Maye, Drake 
RB Hampton, Omarion

Statistical Leaders


Miami-FL Hurricanes
Passing: T. Van Dyke (1330)
Rushing: H. Parrish Jr. (379)
Receiving: X. Restrepo (478)
Touchdowns: J. George (4)

North Carolina Tar Heels
Passing: D. Maye (1629)
Rushing: O. Hampton (461)
Receiving: N. McCollum (355)
Touchdowns: O. Hampton (7)

Coaches:
Miami-FL Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (2nd season)
North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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