Miami-FL Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/11/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023

Venue:  Doak S. Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL +14.5, FSU -14.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL +14.5, FSU -14.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Miami-FL +14.5, FSU -14.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  6-3 (2-3) (9th place, ACC)

Florida State Seminoles:  9-0 (7-0) (1st place, ACC)

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Miami-FL Hurricanes:  lost their last game on the road against the North Carolina State Wolfpack 20-6.

Florida State Seminoles:  won their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Panthers 24-7. 

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against NC State 20-6. Tyler Van Dyke was the starting QB and he completed 21/38 passes for 173 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Mark Fletcher Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 115. Jacolby George led the receivers with 59 receiving yards on 5 receptions. James Williams led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jaden Davis and Francisco Mauigoa each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kamren Kinchens came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Florida State is entering this game with a 9-0 record overall and they have a 7-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 4-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Pittsburgh 24-7. Jordan Travis was the starting QB and he completed 22/36 passes for 360 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Trey Benson led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 1 TD. Ja'Khi Douglas led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Akeem Dent led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Kalen DeLoach, Braden Fiske, and Ashlynd Barker each led the defense in sacks with 1. Conrad Hussey came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Florida State listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida State has looked really good this season with their 9-0 record overall and their 7-0 conference record. They are ranked inside the top 4 right now but they didn't look great in their win last week despite beating Pittsburgh 24-7. Now they come back home and will be looking for a much better performance against a state rival here. Miami-FL is 6-3 overall this year but they have struggled a lot against ACC opponents with their 2-3 conference record. They have also been falling apart in their last few games with some bad losses starting to pile up. They just lost to NC State in their last game after a stretch of bad performances against bad teams and now they are going to have their toughest test of the season against one of the best teams in the country. Florida State is going to be focused on having a better performance here against another conference state rival especially since they are at home with so much on the line with a chance at the CFP. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida State to cover the spread in this game. 

Miami-FL Florida State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is FSU 35 Miami-FL 14.

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Miami-FL Hurricanes: 12-21 ATS in all games. 4-10 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 7-14 ATS against conference opponents. 58-34 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 9-1 UNDER off a double digit upset loss as a favorite of 6 more points.

Florida State Seminoles: 12-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 10-5 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 22-9 ATS off a road no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 6-1 UNDER after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. 9-2 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  R. Joseph (WR) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. E. Arroyo (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Allen (RB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. N. Kelly (DL) out for season - Undisclosed. T. Citizen (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. S. Okunlola (OL) out for season - Lower Body.

Florida State Seminoles:  D. Spann (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. K. Coleman (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. H. Williams (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. J. Wilson (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. B. Glenn (QB) Out indefinitely - Thumb. D. Jackson Jr. (DL) out for season - Eligibility.

“We had every opportunity to take control of that game and we didn’t do it. And we have to own that.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s loss against NC State in their last game. 

“A lot of work that goes into (reaching the ACC championship). To know we are going to get another game at the end of the regular season is big.” - Mike Norvell after his team’s win against Pitt in their last game.

WR Young, Colbie 

WR George, Jacolby 

WR Restrepo, Xavier 

TE McCormick, Cam

QB Van Dyke, Tyler 

RB Parrish Jr., Henry

WR Wilson, Johnny 

WR Coleman, Keon 

WR Hill, Destyn  

TE Morlock, Kyle 

TE Bell, Jaheim 

QB Travis, Jordan 

RB Benson, Trey

RB Toafili, Lawrance 

Passing: T. Van Dyke (2057)

Rushing: H. Parrish Jr. (469)

Receiving: X. Restrepo (683)

Touchdowns: J. George (5)

Passing: J. Travis (2469)

Rushing: T. Benson (641)

Receiving: K. Coleman (538)

Touchdowns: K. Coleman (9)

Coaches:

Miami-FL Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (2nd season)

Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (4th season)