Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/15/2025

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, December 15, 2025

Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3, Steelers -3; Over/Under:  41.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3, Steelers -3; Over/Under:  41.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3, Steelers -3; Over/Under:  41.5 points

Miami Dolphins:  6-7 (3rd place, AFC East)

Pittsburgh Steelers:  7-6 (1st place, AFC North)

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Miami Dolphins:  won their last game on the road against the New York Jets 34-10.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  won their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 27-22.

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 6-7 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 34-10. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 13/21 passes for 127 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Wright led the team in rushing yards with 107 and 1 TD. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 50 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Ashtyn Davis and Jordyn Brooks each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Zach Sieler led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Tyrel Dodson, Ethan Bonner, and Rasul Douglas each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Steelers are entering this game with a 7-6 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 27-22. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 284 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Kenneth Gainwell led the team in rushing yards with 15 and 1 TD. DK Metcalf led the receivers with 148 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Alex Highsmith led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Alex Highsmith and Brandin Echols each led the defense in sacks with 1. James Pierre came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 7-6 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC North. They haven't looked great on their home field though with their 3-3 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Dolphins haven't looked good in their games this season with their 6-7 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't been a great road team either with their 2-4 road record this year. The Dolphins are off a 34-10 win over the Jets in their last one and they have been rolling in their games lately, trying to salvage the season with a late surge after a terrible start to the year, but they have still struggled in these road games, especially in colder areas. The Steelers had a really strong start to the season and let that go, even falling to 2nd in the division with the Ravens making a comeback, but they are off a 27-22 win over the Ravens in their last one and are right back in 1st place now. They are going to have some momentum from that win since they are back in the driver's seat, and the Dolphins have had some close calls during this win streak. They could also be missing Achane in this one and that would be a huge blow since he has been the backbone of this offense this year. The Steelers are going to bring their best effort now that they have a clear lead in the division again so look for them to end this nice run that the Dolphins have been on. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game. 

Dolphins Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 15, 2025 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Steelers 24 Dolphins 13.

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Miami Dolphins: 8-14 ATS as an underdog. 4-11 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 4-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 UNDER off a win against a division rival.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 7-4 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 9-4 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 9-4 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 15-8 UNDER in home games. 6-0 UNDER off an upset win as a road underdog.

Miami Dolphins:  J. Cardona (LS) Injured - Hamstring. D. Waller (TE) Injured - Rest. R. Douglas (CB) Injured - Foot. E. Campbell (CB) Injured - Ankle. A. Brewer (OG) Injured - Ankle. I. Melifonwu (S) Injured - Thumb. E. Bonner (CB) Injured - Knee. C. Johnson (LB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Achane (RB) Injured - Ribs. A. Meyer (OG) Injured - Triceps. C. Robinson (LB) Injured - Oblique. J. Savaiinaea (OG) Injured - Knee.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Wrist. A. Peat (OG) Injured - Concussion. T. Watt (LB) Injured - Lung. J. Pierre (CB) Injured - Calf. P. Queen (LB) Injured - Hip. D. Metcalf (WR) Injured - Abdomen. M. Harrison (LB) Injured - Concussion. B. Skowronek (WR) Injured - Hand. K. Benton (DL) Injured - Ankle. K. Dugger (S) Injured - Hand. D. Washington (TE) Injured - Concussion. Y. Black (DL) Injured - Shoulder. D. Harmon (DL) Injured - Knee.

“That's a formula to win games in December.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game. 

“At least maybe you guys will shut the hell up for a week.” - Aaron Rodgers after their win against the Ravens in their last game. 

WR Waddle, Jaylen

WR Wilson Jr., Cedrick

WR Washington, Malik

TE Waller, Darren

QB Tagovailoa, Tua

RB Gordon II, Ollie

FB Ingold, Alec

WR Metcalf, DK

WR Thielen, Adam

WR Austin III, Calvin

TE Smith, Jonnu

QB Rodgers, Aaron

RB Warren, Jaylen

Passing: Tua Tagovailoa (2,407)

Rushing: De'Von Achane (1,126)

Receiving: Jaylen Waddle (812)

Touchdowns: De'Von Achane (11)

Passing: Aaron Rodgers (2,370)

Rushing: Jaylen Warren (652)

Receiving: DK Metcalf (753)

Touchdowns: DK Metcalf (6)

Coaches:

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (4th season)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (19th season)