Miami Dolphins vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/22/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, October 22, 2023
Venue:  Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  NBC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +2, Eagles -2; Over/Under:  52 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +2, Eagles -2; Over/Under:  52 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +2, Eagles -2; Over/Under:  52 points

Season Record

Miami Dolphins:  5-1 (1st place, AFC East)
Philadelphia Eagles:  5-1 (1st place, NFC East)

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Recent Form
Miami Dolphins:  won their last game at home against the Carolina Panthers 42-21.
Philadelphia Eagles:  lost their last game on the road against the New York Jets 20-14.


Miami Dolphins vs Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Analysis


The Dolphins are entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 42-21. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 262 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 2 TDs. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 163 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. David Long Jr. led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Christian Wilkins led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Eagles are entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Jets 20-14. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 28/45 passes for 280 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Jalen Hurts led the team in rushing yards with 47 and 1 TD. A. J. Brown led the receivers with 131 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Haason Reddick, James Bradberry, and Reed Blankenship each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Haason Reddick led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Dolphins vs Eagles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have been having a great season with their 5-1 record overall and after blowing out 2 bad teams in their last 2 games, they will be looking to take down one of the better teams in the NFL here. The Eagles are also 5-1 this season but they are coming off a loss to the Jets in their last game and they haven't quite looked that great in their games. The Eagles have been struggling to put TDs on the board this season and they have come out really strong in a lot of games just to blow the lead in the 2nd half and win in a much closer game. The Eagles do have the better defense in this game but they are going to have their hands full with the speed and the talent on this Dolphins offense. The Dolphins have been blowing out a lot of bad teams but they are still looking for a statement win after losing to the Bills earlier this season and the Dolphins definitely have the better offense here which is capable of pulling off the upset win in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game. 

Dolphins Eagles Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 22, 2023 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 31 Eagles 28.
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NFL Betting Trends


Miami Dolphins: 3-8 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 2-7 ATS after 2 straight wins by 14 or more points. 9-4 OVER as a road underdog. 15-7 OVER after outgaining opp by 100 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.

Philadelphia Eagles: 10-4 ATS as a home favorite. 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 23-14 ATS against AFC East division opponents. 10-5 OVER as a home favorite. 12-6 OVER after playing their last game on the road. 10-3 OVER in non-conference games.

Key Injuries


Miami Dolphins:  J. Wilson Jr. (RB) Ques Sun - Abdominal. C. Williams (OL) Ques Sun - Groin. J. Ramsey (CB) Mid Nov - Knee. D. Achane (RB) Prob Week 11 - Knee. T. Armstead (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. R. Cracraft (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. N. Needham (CB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.

Philadelphia Eagles:  B. Roby (DB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. S. Brown (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. M. Tuipulotu (DT) Ques Sun - Tricep. R. Penny (RB) Ques Sun - Illness. D. Slay (CB) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Carter (DT) Ques Sun - Ankle. L. Johnson (OT) Ques Sun - Ankle. Q. Watkins (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Evans (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Jurgens (C) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Maddox (CB) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. I. Rodgers Sr. (DB) out for season - Suspension. R. Johnson (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. S. Bradley (LB) I-R - Achilles.

Notable Quotes


“The guy’s hungry for every opportunity and I think you see his will in the way he runs the ball. Around the goal line, a lot of times, the perfect play doesn't exist and it's a battle of wills. He’s not a guy that a lot of people want to tackle.” - Mike McDaniels after his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game. 


“Any time you're minus-4 in the turnovers, you're not going to win many games.” - Nick Sirianni after his team’s loss against the Jets in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen 
WR Hill, Tyreek 
WR Berrios, Braxton 
TE Smythe, Durham 
QB Tagovailoa, Tua 
RB MOSTERT, RAHEEM 
FB Ingold, Alec

Philadelphia Eagles
WR Brown, A.J. 
WR Smith, DeVonta 
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide  
TE Goedert, Dallas 
QB Hurts, Jalen 
RB Swift, D'Andre

Statistical Leaders


Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (1876)
Rushing: D. Achane (460)
Receiving: T. Hill (814)
Touchdowns: R. Mostert (11)

Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (1542)
Rushing: D. Swift (452)
Receiving: A. Brown (672)
Touchdowns: J. Hurts (5)

Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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