by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 02, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 7, 2025
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins -3, Jets +3; Over/Under: 40.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 5-7 (3rd place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 3-9 (4th place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Miami Dolphins: won their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 21-17.
New York Jets: won their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 27-24.
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 5-7 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 21-17. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 12/23 passes for 157 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 134 and 1 TD. Darren Waller led the receivers with 47 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Jordyn Brooks led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Chop Robinson led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Rasul Douglas came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Jets are entering this game with a 3-9 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 27-24. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 21/33 passes for 234 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 142 and 1 TD. Kyle Pitts led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Divine Deablo led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while James Pearce Jr. and Leonard Floyd each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins haven't looked good in their games this season with their 5-7 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC East. They have been a terrible road team too with their 1-4 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Jets have looked terrible in their games this season with their 3-9 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't looked great on their home field either with their 2-4 home record this year. The Jets have been a disaster from the start of the season, even trading away franchise players at the deadline, but they have looked a lot better lately. They are off a 27-24 win over the Falcons in their last one and all 3 of their wins this season have come in the last few weeks. The Dolphins also had a terrible start to the season which has put them in a big hole for the playoff race, but they are starting to play with some momentum now as they have looked a lot better lately. They are off a 21-17 win over the Saints in their last one and they have won 3 games in a row now. Their offense has looked a lot better with Achane getting more involved, and the defense has looked a lot better lately too. The Dolphins still have more talent though and they are technically still alive for the playoffs while the Jets are looking more toward next season. Look for the Dolphins to keep rolling with a win in this game as they look to keep their playoff hopes alive. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 7, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 27 Jets 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 5-1 ATS as a road favorite. 5-1 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse. 8-3 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. 15-7 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. 7-4 OVER vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att.
New York Jets: 8-15 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 0-5 ATS off a home win. 4-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 9-5 OVER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: D. Waller (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. R. Douglas (CB) Injured - Foot. B. Jones (DL) Injured - Ankle. A. Jackson (OG) Injured - Toe. A. Brewer (OG) Injured - Ankle. I. Melifonwu (S) Injured - Thumb. A. Ingold (FB) Injured - Neck.
New York Jets: H. Phillips (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Adams (S) Injured - Groin. M. McCrary-Ball (LB) Injured - Hamstring. W. McDonald IV (DL) Injured - Ankle. C. Jones (LB) Injured - Hip. J. Johnson (LB) Injured - Ankle. J. Brownlee Jr. (CB) Injured - Hip. Q. Stiggers (CB) Injured - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“It reverts back to how I'm playing and how I'm operating for those guys. When I'm able to distribute the ball well, the operation is well. It starts with me.” - Tua Tagovailoa after their win against the Saints in their last game.
“Any time Nick kicks the ball. I feel like it’s good.” - Aaron Glenn on Nick Folk after his team’s win against the Falcons in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick
WR Washington, Malik
TE Waller, Darren
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
New York Jets
WR Mitchell, Adonai
WR Lazard, Allen
WR Metchie III, John
TE Taylor, Mason
QB Taylor, Tyrod
RB Hall, Breece
FB Beck, Andrew
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: Tua Tagovailoa (2,280)
Rushing: De'Von Achane (1,034)
Receiving: Jaylen Waddle (762)
Touchdowns: De'Von Achane (10)
New York Jets
Passing: Justin Fields (1,259)
Rushing: Breece Hall (834)
Receiving: Garrett Wilson (395)
Touchdowns: Garrett Wilson (4)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (4th season)
New York Jets: Aaron Glenn (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
