by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 21, 2023
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Friday, November 24, 2023
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins -10, Jets +10; Over/Under: 40 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins -10, Jets +10; Over/Under: 40 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins -10, Jets +10; Over/Under: 40 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 7-3 (1st place, AFC East)
New York Jets: 4-6 (3rd place, AFC East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL, having a PROFITABLE 47-33-3 NFL SEASON FOR +$10.3K! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Miami Dolphins: won their last game at home against the Las Vegas Raiders 20-13.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 32-6.
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 20-13. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 28/39 passes for 325 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 86. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 146 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Xavien Howard and Jerome Baker each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jaelan Phillips led the defense in sacks with 2. Jalen Ramsey came away with 2 interceptions for them while Jaelan Phillips also came away with 1 interception in that game.
The Jets are entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 32-6. Zach Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 7/15 passes for 81 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception before getting benched for Tim Boyle who completed 7/14 passes for 33 yards and 1 INT. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 23. Breece Hall led the receivers with 50 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. D.J. Reed led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Quinnen Williams led the defense in sacks with 1. Ashtyn Davis came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Dolphins vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have looked really good this season with their 7-3 record overall and they are currently in control of the AFC East. They are 2-1 against division opponents and they have been beating up on a lot of weaker opponents all year. The Jets have not been terrible with their 4-6 record overall but their offense has been a big problem lately as they have lost 3 games in a row now. The Jets do have a good defense but the Dolphins have one of the best offenses in the NFL this year and it will be really difficult for the Jets defense to consistently stop them in this game. The Jets are also moving to Tim Boyle as their starter for this game but he is still going to have a tough time in this Thanksgiving start with the problems the Jets have been having on offense. They won't be able to keep up with the Dolphins even being at home here and the Dolphins will eventually pull away in this game to win by double digits. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Friday, November 24, 2023 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 28 Jets 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Miami Dolphins New York Jets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 9-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 11-5 ATS versus division opponents. 6-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 24-14 UNDER off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 7-4 UNDER after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
New York Jets: 7-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 6-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 5-10 ATS versus division opponents. 26-18 UNDER in all games. 11-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 15-6 UNDER off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a division rival.
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: D. Achane (RB) Ques Fri - Knee. B. Berrios (WR) Ques Fri - Hamstring. D. Smythe (TE) Ques Fri - Ankle. R. Jones (OL) Ques Fri - Knee. R. Hunt (OL) Ques Fri - Hamstring. C. Claypool (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. I. Wynn (OL) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. C. Brooks (RB) I-R - Ankle. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.
New York Jets: M. Becton (OT) Ques Fri - Ankle. S. Eguavoen (LB) Ques Fri - Hip. C. Surratt (LB) Ques Fri - Ankle. B. Turner (OT) Ques Fri - Hand. R. Cobb (WR) Ques Fri - Shoulder. D. Brown (OT) Ques Fri - Shoulder. K. Yeboah (TE) Ques Fri - Hamstring. A. Woods (DL) I-R - Achilles. W. Schweitzer (OL) Out indefinitely - Calf. C. McGovern (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Hardee (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Vera-Tucker (G) I-R - Achilles. A. Rodgers (QB) I-R - Ankle. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"He's the best corner in the league, man. The way he laid out for that last pass just goes to show how much he cares about this team. A lot of guys, they'll knock it down, they'll say, 'Ah, I could land weird.' The way he just laid out for his team just really shows how he cares about his brothers." - Tyreek Hill on Jalen Ramsey after their win against the Raiders in their last game.
“We’ll look at all of it. I’m not really answering those questions yet.” - Robert Saleh on Zach Wilson starting again after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Berrios, Braxton
TE Smythe, Durham
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Mostert, Raheem
FB Ingold, Alec
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Lazard, Allen
WR Gipson, Xavier
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Boyle, Tim
RB Hall, Breece
FB Bawden, Nick
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (2934)
Rushing: R. Mostert (691)
Receiving: T. Hill (1222)
Touchdowns: R. Mostert (13)
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (1944)
Rushing: B. Hall (544)
Receiving: G. Wilson (651)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (3)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
