Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/04/2026

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, October 4, 2026

Venue:  U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +10.5, Vikings -10.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +10.5, Vikings -10.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +10.5, Vikings -10.5; Over/Under:  39 points

Miami Dolphins:  0-3 (4th place, AFC East)

Minnesota Vikings:  3-0 (1st place, NFC North)

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Miami Dolphins:  lost their last game at home against the Kansas City Chiefs 24-10.

Minnesota Vikings:  won their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-16.

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 0-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 24-10. Malik Willis was the starting QB and he completed 20/36 passes for 210 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Malik Willis led the team in rushing yards with 56. Chris Bell led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jordyn Brooks led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Jacob Rodriguez came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Vikings are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-16. Kyler Murray was the starting QB and he completed 15/29 passes for 168 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 58. Jordan Addison led the receivers with 90 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Wilson led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles while Eric Wilson and Kyle Van Noy each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Isaiah Rodgers and Andrew Van Ginkel each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings have looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall which has them right near the top of the NFC North. They have looked good on their home field too with their 1-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 0-3 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC East. They haven't been a good road team either with their 0-2 road record this year. The Dolphins are in their 1st year of a new head coach, but they also lost a ton of talent in the off-season and they don't have a good team this year. There isn't a lot of talent on their roster and the NFL hasn't done them any favors with this being their 3rd road game in the first 4 games of the season. They are coming off a 24-10 loss to the Chiefs in their last one and their offense has looked terrible all season, but now they will be without their best player Achane who suffered a season ending injury. Now they are on the road again and even though this Vikings offense hasn't been lighting many teams up this season, the Vikings defense has been. The Vikings are coming off a 23-16 win over the Bucs in their last one and they have had one of the best defenses in the NFL this year. They aren't giving up much to opposing offenses and this game will be no different since the Dolphins don't have much talent to test this Vikings defense. The offense has looked terrible for the Vikings, but Murray also played his 1st full game in this system last week and will come out better in this 2nd game at home against one of the worst teams in the NFL. The Dolphins are going to have a lot of trouble all night against this Vikings defense and this should be the first game this season that the Vikings offense takes a big step towards improving. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game. 

Dolphins Vikings Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 4, 2026 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Vikings 23 Dolphins 3.

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Miami Dolphins: 15-22 ATS in all games. 4-11 ATS as a road underdog. 26-38 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game. 6-3 UNDER after a loss by 14 or more points. 7-4 UNDER in non-conference games.

Minnesota Vikings: 23-14 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS in home games. 10-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 11-3 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.

Miami Dolphins:  R. Beal Jr. (DL) Injured - Hamstring. C. Douglas (WR) Injured - Ankle. T. Addington (LS) Injured - Shoulder. C. Bell (WR) Injured - Knee. S. Duck (CB) Injured - Knee. J. Wright (RB) Injured - Stinger. Z. Biggers (DL) Injured - Ankle. J. Brents (CB) Injured - Knee. A. Brewer (C) Injured - Hand. D. Trader Jr. (S) Injured - Groin. S. Traore (TE) Injured - Thumb. J. Uche (DL) Injured - Foot.

Minnesota Vikings:  A. Jones Sr. (RB) Injured - Rest. B. Thorson (P) Injured - Hamstring. B. Cashman (LB) Injured - Elbow. C. Demmings (CB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Jefferson (WR) Injured - Ankle.

“It's never as good as it was, never as bad as it was until you watch the tape, but I'm pleased with that. I'm pleased with the intensity. I'm pleased with the physicality of this defense and of this team. And I believe in everybody. Now, we have to get better at the football part of it.” - Jacob Rodriguez after their loss against the Chiefs in their last game. 

“We knew that was going to be an all-out, full team effort. We have to get better in all three phases. I got to do a better job but to be 3-0, to have the type of support we had today from the fans, unbelievable to have that many in the house.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Buccaneers in their last game. 

WR Bell, Chris

WR Douglas, Caleb

WR Washington, Malik

TE Dulcich, Greg

QB Willis, Malik

RB Wright, Jaylen

FB Herman, DJ

WR Jefferson, Justin

WR Addison, Jordan

WR Jennings, Jauan

TE Hockenson, T.J.

QB Murray, Kyler

RB Jones Sr., Aaron

FB Bredeson, Max

Passing: Malik Willis (627)

Rushing: De'Von Achane (127)

Receiving: Malik Washington (152)

Touchdowns: Malik Willis (1)

Passing: Carson Wentz (276)

Rushing: Aaron Jones Sr. (203)

Receiving: Justin Jefferson (179)

Touchdowns: Justin Jefferson (2)

Coaches:

Miami Dolphins: Jeff Hafley (1st season)

Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (5th season)