Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/10/2023

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 10, 2023

Venue:  SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3, Chargers -3; Over/Under:  51 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3, Chargers -3; Over/Under:  51 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +3, Chargers -3; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Miami Dolphins:  0-0 (AFC East)

Los Angeles Chargers:  0-0 (AFC West)

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Miami Dolphins:  N/A

Los Angeles Chargers:  N/A

The Dolphins finished last season with a 9-8 record overall and they were 3-3 in their division games too. They had a 6-2 record in their home games and had a 3-6 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 23.4 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 23.5 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 364.5 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 337.8 yards per game. Tua Tagovailoa led the team in passing yards with 3548, Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 891, and Tyreek Hill led the team in receiving yards with 1710.

The Chargers finished last season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 2-4 in their division games too. They had a 5-3 record in their home games and had a 5-4 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 23 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 22.6 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 359.3 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 346.1 yards per game. Justin Herbert led the team in passing yards with 4739, Austin Ekeler led the team in rushing yards with 915, and Mike Williams led the team in receiving yards with 895.

The current betting odds have the Chargers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chargers were 10-7 overall last season but they will be looking to take a big step this season now that they are healthy again. They still made the playoffs last season but their season was a bit derailed by an injury to starting QB Justin Herbert, but now he is healthy again and will be looking to stay that way for the entire season. The Chargers still have a really good defense along with their great offense that didn't lose much talent. The Dolphins finished last season with a 9-8 record overall and they also made the playoffs just barely but they have been in a similar boat as the Chargers since they had to deal with injuries to their starting QB Tua Tugavailoa. Tua is also a lot healthier this season though and the Dolphins also have a ton of talent on their offense and defense as they have built a potential Super Bowl roster down in Miami. With all things considered though, this is still the 1st game of a new season and the Dolphins do have to travel far for this game so the Chargers have the advantage here being at home with their talent on both sides of the ball. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chargers to cover the spread in this game. 

Dolphins Chargers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 10, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chargers 24 Dolphins 17.

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Miami Dolphins: 46-22 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 8-4 ATS in games played on turf. 41-26 UNDER as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 31-18 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.

Los Angeles Chargers: 15-24 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 5-8 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 28-41 ATS against AFC East division opponents. 32-12 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 21-9 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5.

Miami Dolphins:  J. Ramsey (CB) Mid Dec - Knee. E. Saubert (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. N. Needham (CB) Out indefinitely - Achilles. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. E. Campbell (DB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. White (QB) Prob Week 1 - Concussion. J. Wilson Jr. (RB) Ques Week 1 - Undisclosed. D. Achane (RB) Ques Week 1 - Shoulder. R. Jones (OL) Early Oct - Knee. T. Armstead (OT) Ques Week 1 - Leg. J. Waddle (WR) Ques Week 1 - Abdominal. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. T. Hill (WR) Ques Week 1 - Poss. Suspension.

Los Angeles Chargers:  O. Ogbonnia (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Guyton (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee.

"I'm very happy with our running back group. There's been a ton of development since camp started for already talented guys that I very much believe in. So overall, I'm really pumped with the running back group." - Mike McDaniel on his team’s running backs coming into the new NFL season.

"This is the best preseason we've had since I've been the coach here. I think the feeling that we're able to get here in this game I think meant a lot to the guys. I think to win a game on the road against a quality team, a team that kind of started their starters in the game, I think that was a huge confidence boost for our guys.” - Brandon Staley on his team’s preseason this year.

WR Waddle, Jaylen 

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Berrios, Braxton 

TE Smythe, Durham 

QB Tagovailoa, Tua 

RB MOSTERT, RAHEEM 

FB Ingold, Alec 

WR Williams, Mike 

WR Johnston, Quentin 

WR ALLEN, KEENAN 

TE Everett, Gerald 

QB Herbert, Justin 

RB Ekeler, Austin 

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)

Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)