Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/05/2023

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Sunday, November 5, 2023

Venue:  Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Where to Watch:  NFL Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +2, Chiefs -2; Over/Under:  51 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +2.5, Chiefs -2.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Dolphins +2.5, Chiefs -2.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Miami Dolphins:  6-2 (1st place, AFC East)

Kansas City Chiefs:  6-2 (1st place, AFC West)

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Miami Dolphins:  won their last game at home against the New England Patriots 31-17.

Kansas City Chiefs:  lost their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 24-9.

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site in Germany for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 31-17. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 30/45 passes for 324 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 46 and 1 TD. Jaylen Waddle led the receivers with 121 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Jaelan Phillips led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jaelan Phillips, Jaelan Phillips, and Bradley Chubb each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jalen Ramsey came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site in Germany for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 24-9. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 24/38 passes for 241 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 40. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Drue Tranquill led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while George Karlaftis led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins are 6-2 this season and they have looked really good in their games. Their 2 losses were against the Bills and the Eagles but other than those they have been winning most of their games by double digits. The Chiefs are also 6-2 this season but they haven't looked as good this season with their offense struggling to put up points in their games. They are also coming off a loss against the Broncos in their last game which they only scored 9 points in just to highlight the scoring problems they have had. Now they are playing this game in Germany and the Chiefs will be looking to bounce back but the Dolphins are also going to be looking to win one of these games against high profile opponents and they have the offense to bury the Chiefs with the way both teams have been playing. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game. 

Dolphins Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 5, 2023 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 31 Chiefs 27.

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Miami Dolphins: 48-22 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 9-5 ATS off a home win. 6-1 UNDER in games played on a neutral field. 13-5 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 

Kansas City Chiefs: 13-21 ATS against conference opponents. 12-19 ATS after allowing 100 or less passing yards in their last game. 5-1 UNDER in games played on a grass field. 6-2 UNDER in all games. 

Miami Dolphins:  D. Smythe (TE) day-to-day - Foot. R. Cracraft (WR) day-to-day - Shoulder. X. Howard (CB) day-to-day - Groin. J. Holland (S) day-to-day - Concussion. I. Wynn (OL) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. C. Brooks (RB) I-R - Ankle. D. Achane (RB) Prob Week 11 - Knee. T. Armstead (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.

Kansas City Chiefs:  N. Bolton (LB) Late Dec - Wrist. J. Ross (WR) Out indefinitely - Personal. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. R. James (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

“You get a great litmus test of where you're at as a football team when you have a division game, and then on top of that you're going overseas the next week and on top of that you have ‘Hard Knocks’ the week after. That is leading the league in potential distractions. So I knew we were going to find out a lot about our team today.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s win against the Patriots in their last game. 

“And we didn’t execute or score any points.” - Patrick Mahomes III after their loss against the Broncos in their last game. 

WR Waddle, Jaylen 

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Berrios, Braxton 

TE Smythe, Durham 

QB Tagovailoa, Tua 

RB MOSTERT, RAHEEM 

FB Ingold, Alec

WR Moore, Skyy   

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez  

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE KELCE, TRAVIS 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (2416)

Rushing: R. Mostert (520)

Receiving: T. Hill (1014)

Touchdowns: R. Mostert (12)

Passing: P. Mahomes (2258)

Rushing: I. Pacheco (459)

Receiving: T. Kelce (583)

Touchdowns: T. Kelce (4)

Coaches:

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)