by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 29, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 3, 2024
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Dolphins +6, Bills -6; Over/Under: 50 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Dolphins +6.5, Bills -6.5; Over/Under: 50 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Dolphins +6.5, Bills -6.5; Over/Under: 50 points
Season Record
Miami Dolphins: 2-5 (2nd place, AFC East)
Buffalo Bills: 6-2 (1st place, AFC East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! AAA Sports is on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a 13-3 NFL RUN for +$9,650 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Miami Dolphins: lost their last game at home against the Arizona Cardinals 28-27.
Buffalo Bills: won their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 31-10.
Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 28-27. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 28/38 passes for 234 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 97. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 6 receptions. David Long Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Bills are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 31-10. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 24/34 passes for 283 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 2 TDs. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 107 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Rasul Douglas led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Javon Solomon led the defense in sacks with 1. Austin Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Dolphins vs Bills Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bills listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills have looked great in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall which has them leading the AFC East with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They are coming off another blow out win in their last one, beating the Seahawks by double digits, and they have looked a lot better in their home games this year with their 3-0 home record. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-5 record overall, but that record only has them in 2nd place of the AFC East, right behind the Bills. They have been dealing with injuries all year that have derailed their season, specifically an injury to their starting QB Tua Tagovailoa, but he was back in their last game and the offense looked a lot better with him. Even with Tua back though, they still lost the game at home to the Cardinals and now they are going to be seeing a much stronger defense on the road here. The Dolphins have a good offense with Tua back, but their defense has had some big issues this season while the Bills haven't been giving up many points in any of their games. The Bills also have a very good record against the Dolphins and they have the advantage of being at home in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game.
Dolphins Bills Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 3, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 34 Dolphins 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Miami Dolphins: 4-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 3-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 5-11 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.65 yards/play or more. 5-1 UNDER off a home loss. 12-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Buffalo Bills: 9-3 ATS off a road win. 12-7 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-2 1H ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 26-19 UNDER in all games. 6-2 UNDER in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5. 10-3 UNDER in weeks 5 through 9.
Key Injuries
Miami Dolphins: T. Hill (WR) Questionable - Foot. Z. Sieler (DT) Out - Eye. S. Duck (CB) Doubtful - Ankle. K. Kohou (CB) Out - Neck. L. Eichenberg (OL) Injured - Shoulder. J. Waddle (WR) Injured - Quad. J. Holland (SAF) Injured - Hand. E. Ogbah (LB) Injured - Bicep. T. Huntley (QB) Injured - Shoulder. C. Campbell (DT) Injured - Rest. T. Armstead (T) Injured - Rest.
Buffalo Bills: D. Smoot (DE) Injured - Groin. C. Samuel (WR) Out - Pectoal. D. Knox (TE) Injured - Ankle. D. Hamlin (SAF) Injured - Ankle. D. Williams (LB) Injured - Knee. D. Carter (DT) Out - Wrist. D. Jones (DT) Injured - Foot. M. Hollins (WR) Injured - Shoulder. M. Trubisky (QB) Injured - Knee. J. Allen (QB) Injured - Hand. T. Johnson (CB) Injured - Forearm. T. Bernard (LB) Out - Ankle. Q. Morris (TE) Injured - Shoulder. D. Evans (RB) Doubtful - Hamstring. D. Kincaid (TE) Injured - Collarbone.
Notable Quotes
“I think the biggest thing was he knew his teammates were going to give him a chance to play a pretty clean game. He had a good amount of clean pockets, and when he didn't, he was decisive and kept himself out of harm's way.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their last game.
“That was huge. I hate throwing turnovers, but I made the tackle. Coach talks about all the time if something like that happens, not to put your head down. Go make a tackle and let your defense come back on the field because you never know what’s going to happen.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Seahawks in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Miami Dolphins
WR Beckham Jr., Odell
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
TE Smith, Jonnu
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB Achane, De'Von
FB Ingold, Alec
Buffalo Bills
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Cooper, Amari
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Statistical Leaders
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (717)
Rushing: D. Achane (357)
Receiving: T. Hill (366)
Touchdowns: D. Achane (3)
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (1766)
Rushing: J. Cook (452)
Receiving: K. Shakir (421)
Touchdowns: J. Cook (8)
Coaches:
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (3rd season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
