Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/19/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 19, 2026

Venue:  Yuengling Center, Tampa, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Memphis +8.5, USF -8.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Memphis +8.5, USF -8.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Memphis +8.5, USF -8.5; Over/Under:  158.5 points

Memphis Tigers:  12-13 (7-5) (4th place, American)

South Florida Bulls:  18-8 (10-3) (1st place, American)

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Memphis Tigers:  2-3  last 5

South Florida Bulls:  4-1  last 5

Memphis is entering this game with a 12-13 record overall, a 7-5 record in conference games, and they are 2-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Utah State Aggies in their last game. Sincere Parker led the team in points in that game with 21 while Curtis Givens was next on the team with 18. Dug McDaniel led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Sincere Parker led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 36.7% from the field, 22.2% from 3-point range, and 79.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.8 PPG against them. Memphis has an ATS record of 13-12 this season and their O/U record is 13-12.

South Florida is entering this game with an 18-8 record overall, a 10-3 conference record, and they are 10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Florida Atlantic Owls in their last game. Wes Enis led the team in points in that game with 27 while CJ Brown was next on the team with 17. CJ Brown led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Izaiyah Nelson led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 42.5% from the field, 41.7% from 3-point range, and 64.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 88.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 78.5 PPG against them. South Florida has an ATS record of 12-13 this season and their O/U record is 13-12.

The current betting odds have South Florida listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. South Florida has looked great in their games this season with their 18-8 record overall and their 10-3 conference record which has them right at the top of the American Conference. They have looked great on their home court too with their 10-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, Memphis hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 12-13 record overall, but their 7-5 conference record has them in the top half of the American Conference. They have been a terrible road team though with their 2-8 road record this year. Memphis has been a really up and down team all season and they haven't looked great lately. They are 2-3 in their last 5 games and they are off a big double digit loss to Utah State in their last one. They were supposed to be the best team in this conference coming into the season, but they have not lived up to that and now they will have to face the team that has actually been the best team in the conference by far. South Florida is off a win over FAU in their last one and they have been rolling in their games lately with 4 wins in a row now. They have also been putting up a ton of points in their games all year and they have one of the best offenses in the entire nation. Memphis has been terrible in road games this season and they won't have the offense to come back once South Florida starts to pull away. Look for South Florida to take advantage of a bad road team in Memphis and continue rolling in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on South Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Memphis South Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, February 19, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is South Florida 88 Memphis 72.

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Memphis Tigers: 13-22 ATS in road games. 11-22 ATS after playing a road game. 3-6 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 free throws/game or more. 9-4 UNDER after allowing 85 points or more. 7-3 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games.

South Florida Bulls: 9-4 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 14-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 6-2 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 27-15 UNDER in all home games. 9-5 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival.

Memphis Tigers:  Z. Davis (G) Out - Suspension. H. Abdul Hakim (G) Out - Suspension. Q. Berry (G) Questionable - Undisclosed.

South Florida Bulls:  D. Green (F) Out - Achilles. X. Brown (G) Out - Undisclosed.

"You can’t do what they did. You can’t keep scoring the ball. We came out here to play this game. You gotta have more class than that. It ain’t even just that last one. It was the rest of them. You just gotta have some type of class, seriously." - Penny Hardaway after his team’s loss against USU in their last game. 

"It's great to score up in triple digits, but honestly, we focus more on our offensive efficiency numbers and getting lots of possessions,. The No. 1 thing is winning basketball games. The way we recruit, we have an offensive-heavy mindset, but we look to teach them to be great defenders. Scoring is great. We want to be great at defense, too.'' - Bryan Hodgson on his team this season.

A. Bradshaw 

C. Givens 

D. McDaniel 

T. Sylla 

J. Thedford

C. Brown 

W. Enis 

I. Nelson 

J. Omojafo 

J. Pinion

PPG: Dug McDaniel (12.8)

APG: Dug McDaniel (4.6)

Reb/G: Julius Thedford (5.1)

PPG: Izaiyah Nelson (16)

APG: CJ Brown (5.1)

Reb/G: Izaiyah Nelson (9.8)

Coaches:

Memphis Tigers: Anfernee Hardaway (8th season)

South Florida Bulls: Bryan Hodgson (1st season)