Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/20/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, April 20, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +12.5, Thunder -12.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +12.5, Thunder -12.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +13.5, Thunder -13.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Memphis Grizzlies:  48-34 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Memphis Grizzlies:  5-5 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

The Grizzlies are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 22-19 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Mavericks. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team in points in that game with 24 while Desmond Bane and Ja Morant each were next on the team with 22 points. Desmond Bane and Ja Morant each led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 43-40-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-36.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 35-6 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Phoenix Suns, the Utah Jazz, and the New Orleans Pelicans. Aaron Wiggins led the team in points in that game with 28 while Branden Carlson was next on the team with 26 points. Aaron Wiggins led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kenrich Williams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 41.8% from the field, 19.1% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 53-26-4 this season and their O/U record is 45-36-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 8th seeded Grizzlies from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 68-14 record overall which had them at the top of the West all year with the best record in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court with their 35-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have looked good in their games this season with their 48-34 record overall, but it wasn't enough to get them a true playoff spot. They haven't been a bad road team either with their 22-19 road record, but they haven't been at their best in those games. The Grizzlies had a great record this season, but they haven't looked great over the last 2 weeks as they needed to win games for seeding and still ended up playing in the play-in tournament. They have been struggling against better opponents lately too, and that is exactly what happened in the play-in tournament. They were able to get by a bad Mavericks team that was under .500 to get to this series, but they weren't too competitive in their game against the Warriors. They ended up coming all the way back to make it a game in the end, but they also went down by 20 points and they can't do that here with the way the Thunder play defense or the Thunder will make them pay. The Thunder have been rolling teams all season and even though they do have a younger team still, they have the playoff experience from last season to draw on and they will bring their best effort in this first game to set the tone. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Grizzlies Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 20, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 124 Grizzlies 101.

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Memphis Grizzlies: 16-36 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 9-17 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 6-17 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less. 19-7 OVER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 

Oklahoma City Thunder: 42-25 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 80-47 ATS in home games. 16-5 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. 44-28 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Wells (SG) Out For Season - Wrist. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Williams (SF) Day To Day - Hip. C. Holmgren (PF) Day To Day - Back. C. Wallace (SG) Day To Day - Shoulder. S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Day To Day - Shin. L. Dort (SG) Day To Day - Patellofemoral. O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Calf. N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“The doctors gave me all the help I needed in the simplest terms. I wanted to be on the floor. I wanted to play this game and get the win.” - Ja Morant after their win against the Mavericks in the play-in tournament on Friday.

“I never come into the season with any expectations. I have learned with this team not to put a ceiling on them. They’ve shown time and time again their ability to be uncommon.” - Mark Daigneault on his team coming into the playoffs.

PG Ja Morant

SG Desmond Bane

SF Vince Williams Jr.

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey 

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: J. Morant (23.2)

APG: J. Morant (7.3)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (8.3)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

Coaches:

Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (Interim)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)