Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/28/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Apr 27, 2023
Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Friday, April 28, 2023
Venue:  Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +4.5, Lakers -4.5; Over/Under:  220 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +4.5, Lakers -4.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Grizzlies +4.5, Lakers -4.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Season Record

Memphis Grizzlies:  51-31 (1st place, Southwest Division)
Los Angeles Lakers:  43-39 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Memphis Grizzlies:  4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers:  7-3 last 10


Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Preview and Analysis


The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 51-31 record overall and they were 16-25 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the LA Lakers in their last game. Desmond Bane led the team in points in that game with 33 while Ja Morant was next on the team with 31 points. Ja Morant led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jaren Jackson Jr., Ja Morant, and Desmond Bane each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 44.4% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 39-46-2 this season and their O/U record is 39-46-2.



The Lakers finished the regular season with a 43-39 record overall and they were 23-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. Anthony Davis led the team in points in that game with 31 while Austin Reaves was next on the team with 17 points. D'Angelo Russell led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Anthony Davis led the team in rebounds with 19. They were 40.2% from the field, 25.6% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 43-44-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-42.


Grizzlies vs Lakers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Lakers listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 2nd seeded Grizzlies and the 7th seeded Lakers for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Lakers are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after losing on the road in game 5, but they have done their job in this series so far and have put themselves in a great position to close it out. They needed to win 1 road game in this series to advance and they did so in the first 2 home games for the Grizzlies. The Lakers then won both of their home games to go up 3-1 in the series and have now put all the pressure on the number 2 seeded Grizzlies to win 3 games in a row and pull off the comeback. The Grizzlies were able to steal 1 game back on their home court but they weren't able to do much in their 2 road games in this series and they were also a very poor road team all year during the regular season. The Grizzlies may be the number 2 seed in the West but the Lakers were really hot coming into the playoffs and they have one of the greatest players of all time in LeBron James leading the way for them as he has plenty of experience when it comes to closing out a playoff series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lakers to cover the spread in this game.

Grizzlies Lakers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 28, 2023 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Lakers 124 Grizzlies 114.
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NBA Betting Trends


Memphis Grizzlies: 1-15 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 4-13 ATS when facing elimination in a playoff series. 26-18 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 36-25 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Los Angeles Lakers: 15-8 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 25-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders. 27-17 OVER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 17-10 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5.

Key Injuries


Memphis Grizzlies:  L. Kennard (SG) Ques Fri - Shoulder. LaRavia (SF) Out Indefinitely - Calf. S. Adams (C) out for season - Knee. B. Clarke (PF) out for season - Achilles.

Los Angeles Lakers:  None.


Notable Quotes


“Obviously it was a win or go home situation." - Taylor Jenkins after his team’s win against the Lakers in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series.


“He and I made eye contact. We had a nonverbal discussion. It was time. We’re going to need him big on Friday.” - Darvin Ham on LeBron James after his team’s loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Wednesday, game 5 of this series. 


Starting Lineups


Memphis Grizzlies
PG Ja Morant
SG Desmond Bane
SF Dillon Brooks
PF Jaren Jackson Jr.
C Xavier Tillman

Los Angeles Lakers
PG D'Angelo Russell
SG Austin Reaves
SF LeBron James
PF Jarred Vanderbilt
C Anthony Davis

Statistical Leaders


Memphis Grizzlies
PPG: J. Morant (26.2)
APG: J. Morant (8.1)
Reb/G: S. Adams (11.5)

Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. James (28.9)
APG: L. James (6.8)
Reb/G: A. Davis (12.5)

Coaches:
Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (4th season)
Los Angeles Lakers: Darvin Ham (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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