Massachusetts Minutemen vs Army Black Knights Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/20/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Nov 17, 2021
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue:  Michie Stadium, West Point, NY
Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UMass +37, Army -37; Over/Under:  56 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UMass +37.5, Army -37.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UMass +37.5, Army -37.5; Over/Under:  56 points
 

Season Record

Massachusetts Minutemen:  1-9 (5th place, FBS Independents)
Army Black Knights:  6-3 (4th place, FBS Independents)
 
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Massachusetts Minutemen vs Army Black Knights Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Massachusetts Minutemen:  lost at home on Nov. 13 against the Maine Black Bears 35-10.
Army Black Knights:  won at home on Nov. 13 against the Bucknell Bison 63-10.
 
 
 

Massachusetts Minutemen Analysis

UMass is coming into this game with a 1-9 record overall and they are 0-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They only have 1 win all season and they are coming into this one on a 4 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Brady Olson played alright in that game but was nothing special as he completed 14/30 passes for 113 yards and 1 touchdown. Ellis Merriweather had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 177 yards on 27 carries. Tray Pettaway led the receivers with 48 yards on 2 receptions while Josiah Johnson caught the only touchdown pass in that one. Nahji Logan led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. No one on the defense was able to record a sack or an interception in that one. They have scored 152 points in their 10 games this season averaging 15.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 440 points against them allowing 44 PPG. Their offense is averaging 292.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 477.3 YPG.
 
 

Army Black Knights Analysis

Army is coming into this game with a 6-3 record overall and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won their last 2 games straight and are coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Jabari Laws did not do much in the passing game as he completed 3/3 passes for 58 yards and 1 touchdown. Tyson Riley led the team in rushing with 70 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 carries while Christian Anderson had 43 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 carries. Jemel Jones, Tyhier Tyler, Markens Pierre, Jakobi Buchanan, Shacori Williams, and Anthony Adkins all ran in the other TDs on the ground for them in that one with 1 each. Isaiah Alston led the receivers with 30 yards on 1 reception while Ay'Juan Marshall had 22 yards and 1 touchdown on 1 reception in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Arik Smith and Malkelm Morrison both led the defense with 3 solo tackles each in that game. Andre Carter II and Cole Mabry both recorded the only sacks in that game for them with 1 each while Carter II also came away with the lone interception for them in that one. They have scored 326 points in their 9 games this season averaging 36.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 218 points against them allowing 24.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 400.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 322.8 YPG.
 

 

Massachusetts vs Army Prediction

Army is coming into this game as a 37 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Army has been playing great all season and they are coming off of a massive blow out win against a team from the FCS, winning that game by over 50 points. UMass pretty much has talent equivalent to that NCAA division and they are even coming off of a loss in their last by over 20 points to a team from the FCS. UMass just fired their head coach and hired a new one for next year so their program is in limbo to finish off these last games. The best bet to place in this game is on Army to cover the spread here as they will win in another blow out game.
 
Massachusetts Army Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Army 56 UMass 7.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Massachusetts Minutemen: 60-48 O/U in all games. 20-15 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 52-35 O/U as an underdog. 31-21 O/U as a road underdog. 33-24 O/U in road games. 
Army Black Knights: 145-166 ATS in all games. 39-55 ATS as a favorite. 28-30 ATS as a home favorite. 64-75 ATS in home games. 99-109 ATS in games played on turf.
 

Key Injuries

 
Massachusetts Minutemen:  J. Roberts (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Holmes (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Lytle (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Army Black Knights:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“All week I’ve talked about being a family. I never once talked about winning or losing, and we’re going to continue to talk about (being a family) … I just want guys to stick together.” - Alex Miller on his goal as an interim head coach after their loss to Maine in their last game.
 
 
"The young guys that got some significant reps, obviously, we'll be counting on them next year and the years to follow. For them to get those reps is really important." - Jeff Monken on letting some of their depth play in their win against Bucknell in their last game. 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Massachusetts Minutemen
WR Rico Arnold
WR Dieke, Onuma
WR Jermaine Johnson Jr. 
TE Johnson, Josiah 
QB Olson, Brady 
RB Merriweather, Ellis 
 
Army Black Knights
WR Donaldson, Reikan 
TE Cameron, Chris 
QB Anderson, Christian
RB Riley, Tyson 
SB Robinson, Tyrell 
SB Walters, Brandon 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Massachusetts Minutemen
Passing: B. Olson (1153)
Rushing: E. Merriweather (858)
Receiving: R. Arnold (384)
Touchdowns: E. Merriweather (3)
 
Army Black Knights
Passing: C. Anderson (401)
Rushing: C. Anderson (479)
Receiving: I. Alston (325)
Touchdowns: C. Anderson (7)
 
Coaches:
Massachusetts Minutemen: Alex Miller (Interim)
Army Black Knights: Jeff Monken (8th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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