by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 11, 2022
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 12, 2022
Venue: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Maryland +10, PSU -10; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Maryland +10, PSU -10; Over/Under: 58.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Maryland +10.5, PSU -10.5; Over/Under: 59.5 points
Season Record
Maryland Terrapins: 6-3 (3-3) (4th place, Big Ten East)
Penn State Nittany Lions: 7-2 (4-2) (3rd place, Big Ten East)
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Recent Form
Maryland Terrapins: lost their last game on the road against the Wisconsin Badgers 23-10.
Penn State Nittany Lions: won their last game on the road against the Indiana Hoosiers 45-14.
Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Nittany Lions Preview and Analysis
Maryland is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th road game of the season here as they are 2-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 7th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-3. They lost against the Wisconsin Badgers in their last game on the road 23-10. Taulia Tagovailoa started that game at QB and he completed 10/23 passes for 77 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Roman Hemby led the team in rushing with 66 yards on 16 rushing attempts. CJ Dippre led the team in receiving with 36 yards on 2 receptions. Beau Brade led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Greg Rose led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Penn State is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 4-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 7th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 4-2. They won against the Indiana Hoosiers in their last game on the road 45-14. Sean Clifford started that game at QB and he completed 15/23 passes for 229 yards and 1 interception. Kaytron Allen led the team in rushing with 86 yards and 3 TDs on 18 carries. Kaytron Allen led the team in receiving with 72 yards on 2 receptions. Kobe King led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Nick Tarburton, Adisa Isaac, Ji'Ayir Brown, Demeioun Robinson, Dvon Ellies, and Coziah Izzard each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Dani Dennis-Sutton came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Maryland vs Penn State Prediction
The current betting odds have PSU listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. PSU has been having a very good season this year, they do not have a chance at the college football playoffs or their Big Ten Championship but they still have a very good team that plays in a very tough division. They only have 2 losses this season and both losses came against top 3 teams in the country as they lost to Ohio State and to Michigan. Penn State really beats up on bad teams though as they have a few times this year and even did so last week in a road game against Indiana. Now PSU will be back at home here where they hung in all game against OSU their last time there and even blew out Minnesota right before that. Maryland has been struggling in conference play all season and they just took a bad loss on the road to Wisconsin last week who is in disarray after firing their head coach a few weeks ago. Wisconsin does have a good defense but now Maryland has to play on the road again against an even better Penn State defense and Penn State also has a much better offense than Wisconsin does. This is going to be another blowout win for Penn State as they look to finish their season off strong in these last few games. The best way to place a bet here is on Penn State to cover the spread in this game.
Maryland Penn State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 12, 2022 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Penn State 38 Maryland 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Maryland Terrapins: 5-15 ATS against conference opponents. 2-9 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 15-9 UNDER after allowing 275 or more rushing yards last game.
Penn State Nittany Lions: 14-6 ATS off a road blowout win by 28 points or more. 23-17 UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 20-14 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.
Key Injuries
Maryland Terrapins: R. Jarrett (WR) Ques Sat - Leg. C. Faamatau (RB) Mid Nov - Undisclosed.
Penn State Nittany Lions: K. Lee (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Dottin (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Cross (TE) Mid Nov - Undisclosed. Z. Fisher (DE) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"It didn't seem as though they were as affected by the elements as we were. That starts with me as the head coach." - Mike Locksley after his team’s loss against Wisconsin in their last game.
"We take pride when we see our running backs making big plays and we feel in our unit that we kind of drive this offense. So when we see our running backs doing good things, we feel really good." - Theo Johnson after his team’s win against Indiana in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Maryland Terrapins
WR Demus Jr., Dontay
WR Jones, Jeshaun
WR Jarrett, Rakim
TE Dippre, CJ
QB Tagovailoa, Taulia
RB Hemby, Roman
Penn State Nittany Lions
WR Lambert-Smith, KeAndre
WR Tinsley, Mitchell
WR Washington, Parker
TE Strange, Brenton
QB Clifford, Sean
RB Singleton, Nicholas
Statistical Leaders
Maryland Terrapins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (2078)
Rushing: R. Hemby (747)
Receiving: C. Dyches (376)
Touchdowns: R. Hemby (8)
Penn State Nittany Lions
Passing: S. Clifford (2045)
Rushing: N. Singleton (670)
Receiving: P. Washington (597)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (9)
Coaches:
Maryland Terrapins: Mike Locksley (5th season)
Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
