by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 04, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 7, 2023
Venue: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Maryland +19.5, OSU -19.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Maryland +20, OSU -20; Over/Under: 58 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Maryland +19.5, OSU -19.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
Maryland Terrapins: 5-0 (2-0) (2nd place, Big Ten East)
Ohio State Buckeyes: 4-0 (1-0) (4th place, Big Ten East)
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Maryland Terrapins: won their last game at home against the Indiana Hoosiers 44-17.
Ohio State Buckeyes: won their last game on the road against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 17-14.
Maryland Terrapins vs Ohio State Buckeyes Preview and Analysis
Maryland is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Indiana 44-17. Taulia Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 24/34 passes for 352 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Roman Hemby led the team in rushing yards with 54. Tai Felton led the receivers with 134 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 3 TDs. Tarheeb Still led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Caleb Wheatland, Kellan Wyatt, and Quashon Fuller each led the defense in sacks with 1. Fa'Najae Gotay came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Ohio State is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Notre Dame 17-14. Kyle McCord was the starting QB and he completed 21/37 passes for 240 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 104 and 1 TD. Emeka Egbuka led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Lathan Ransom led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Maryland vs Ohio State Prediction
The current betting odds have Maryland listed as a 19.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Maryland is 5-0 this season and they have looked really good in their games as they have been smoking teams by double digits in every game. They have only played in 1 road game this year but Ohio State is coming out of their bye week here so they could have a slower start in this game after not playing for 2 weeks. Ohio State also hasn't looked great in their games this season as they have 1 blowout win against Western Kentucky but have looked terrible in every other game played as their offense has struggled. They just pulled off a big road win against Notre Dame in their last game but they were very fortunate to even come away with that win after Notre Dame found a way to lose the game late. Ohio State doesn't have the same team as they did last year while this Maryland team has improved and Ohio State still has a lot to figure out on offense. Maryland has been rolling on offense in their games lately and even if Ohio State has a good game offensively, Maryland will be able to put up some points in this game and keep it closer. The best way to place a bet here is on Maryland to cover the spread in this game.
Maryland Ohio State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 7, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 31 Maryland 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Maryland Terrapins: 17-25 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 33-58 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 7-2 OVER as a road underdog of 17.5 to 21 points. 8-2 OVER after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games.
Ohio State Buckeyes: 16-8 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points. 123-85 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 14-5 OVER against conference opponents. 12-4 OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 10-4 OVER after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Key Injuries
Maryland Terrapins: L. Haughton Jr. (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Brown (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Richards (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. N. Ray (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. N. Avery (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Gooden (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. D. Duffus (OL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. S. Williams (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. L. Husbands (TE) out for season - Undisclosed.
Ohio State Buckeyes: R. Stocksdale (WR) out for season - Knee. T. Caffey (RB) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Mitchell (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. K. Grayes (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Bonsu (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Reese (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Martinez (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Harrison Jr. (WR) Prob Sat - Ankle. Z. Herbstreit (TE) out for season - Undisclosed. B. Christian (TE) out for season - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
“We talked earlier in the week about enjoying wins, and we're going to enjoy this one. So whatever questions you all ask me, I ain't going down a negative rabbit hole with you all. We're 5-0, 4-0 at home, 2-0 in the Big Ten, and I couldn't be prouder of this team.” - Mike Locksley after his team’s win against Indiana in their last game.
“I’d like to know where Lou Holtz is right now. What he said about our team, I cannot believe. This is a tough team right here. We’re proud to be from Ohio. It’s always been Ohio against the world, and it’ll continue to be Ohio against the world. But I’ll tell you what: I love those kids. We’ve got a tough team.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against Notre Dame in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Maryland Terrapins
WR Felton, Tai
WR Prather, Kaden
WR Jones, Jeshaun
TE Dyches, Corey
QB Tagovailoa, Taulia
RB Hemby, Roman
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Harrison Jr., Marvin
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Egbuka, Emeka
TE Stover, Cade
QB McCord, Kyle
RB Henderson, TreVeyon
Statistical Leaders
Maryland Terrapins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (1464)
Rushing: R. Hemby (309)
Receiving: J. Jones (319)
Touchdowns: R. Hemby (4)
Ohio State Buckeyes
Passing: K. McCord (1055)
Rushing: T. Henderson (295)
Receiving: M. Harrison Jr. (336)
Touchdowns: T. Henderson (5)
Coaches:
Maryland Terrapins: Mike Locksley (6th season)
Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
