Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/05/2025

Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Venue:  Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI 

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Maryland +2.5, Michigan -2.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Maryland +2.5, Michigan -2.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Maryland +2.5, Michigan -2.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points

Maryland Terrapins:  22-7 (12-6) (3rd place, Big Ten)

Michigan Wolverines:  22-7 (14-4) (2nd place, Big Ten)

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Maryland Terrapins:  4-1  last 5

Michigan Wolverines:  3-2  last 5

Maryland is entering this game with a 22-7 record overall, a 12-6 record in conference games, and they are 4-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Penn State Nittany Lions in their last game. Derik Queen led the team in points in that game with 23 while Ja'Kobi Gillespie was next on the team with 19. Ja'Kobi Gillespie led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Julian Reese led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 38.5% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.9 PPG against them. Maryland has an ATS record of 14-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-11.

Michigan is entering this game with a 22-7 record overall, a 14-4 conference record, and they are 13-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Vladislav Goldin led the team in points in that game with 22 while Daniel Wolf, Tre Donaldson, and Will Tschetter each were next on the team with 9. Roddy Gayle Jr., Will Tschetter, and Rubin Jones each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Vladislav Goldin led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 45.9% from the field, 22.2% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.4 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 13-16 this season and their O/U record is 16-13.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked really good in their games this season with their 22-7 record overall and their 14-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 13-2 home record. Meanwhile, Maryland has looked really good in their games this season with their 22-7 record overall and their 12-6 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They haven't been a great road team though with their 4-5 road record. They have been hot lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games, but they are coming off a tight road win over Penn State in their last one, a game they struggled to win against one of the worst teams in the Big Ten. Michigan is 3-2 in their last 5 games and they are coming off a terrible home loss to Illinois by double digits in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back in a big way. They have been winning a lot of tight games over the last few weeks, but they find ways to get the job done and they are going to bring their best effort here after such an embarrassing loss on their home court. Maryland has been rolling over a lot of teams lately, but most of those wins were at home. They have struggled a lot more on the road with tighter games and they have also dropped some bad games to weaker teams. Michigan is still in the race to win the Big Ten Title for the regular season so they are going to throw everything they have at Maryland to bounce back with a win against a ranked opponent. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Maryland Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 5, 2025 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Michigan 72 Maryland 68.

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Maryland Terrapins: 20-10 ATS after playing a road game. 14-8 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 6-3 UNDER off a road win. 19-12 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 18-8 UNDER versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less.

Michigan Wolverines: 10-20 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 1-11 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more. 3-12 ATS after allowing 85 points or more. 12-6 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 12-3 UNDER off a home loss. 8-1 UNDER off an upset loss as a home favorite.

Maryland Terrapins:  J. Long (G) Questionable - Knee. C. Stephens (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Pierce (C) Out - Eye.

Michigan Wolverines:  S. Walters (F) Questionable - Back.

"Julian Reese won this game. I mean, it's not even close. Obviously, he kind of struggled early offensively. They did a good job of really kind of sending three guys on his post moves, but he kept his head into it. He acted like a guy that's been around before, and he made every pick-and-roll, two huge of what we call 'Hibberts' at the rim to save buckets. He was just the difference in the game." - Kevin Willard after his team’s win against PSU in their last game. 

“He needs to run our team. He needs to play much, much harder on defense.” - Dusty May on what he wants from Tre Donaldson. 

J. Gillespie 

S. Miguel 

D. Queen 

J. Reese 

R. Rice

N. Burnett 

T. Donaldson 

R. Gayle 

V. Goldin 

D. Wolf

PPG: D. Queen (15.9)

APG: J. Gillespie (4.8)

Reb/G: J. Reese (9.4)

PPG: V. Goldin (16.1)

APG: T. Donaldson (3.9)

Reb/G: D. Wolf (9.7)

Coaches:

Maryland Terrapins: Kevin Willard (3rd season)

Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (1st season)