by Rod Pearson
Friday, Sep 22, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023
Venue: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Maryland -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Maryland -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Maryland -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Season Record
Maryland Terrapins: 3-0 (0-0) (4th place, Big Ten East)
Michigan State Spartans: 2-1 (0-0) (6th place, Big Ten)
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Maryland Terrapins: won their last game at home against the Virginia Cavaliers 42-14.
Michigan State Spartans: lost their last game at home against the Washington Huskies 41-7.
Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan State Spartans Preview and Analysis
Maryland is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Virginia 42-14. Taulia Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 342 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Colby McDonald led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. Jeshaun Jones led the receivers with 96 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Ruben Hyppolite II led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Tre Colbert and Fa'Najae Gotay each led the defense in sacks with 1. Tarheeb Still came away with 2 interceptions for them while Donnell Brown also came away with 1 in that game.
Michigan State is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Washington 41-7. Noah Kim was the starting QB and he completed 12/31 passes for 136 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Nathan Carter led the team in rushing yards with 48. Christian Fitzpatrick led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 1 reception. Jaden Mangham led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jaden Mangham came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Maryland vs Michigan State Prediction
The current betting odds have Maryland listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Maryland hasn't really played anyone in their first few games of the season and now they have their 1st road game of the year here also being their start to conference play. They almost got a scare in their last game at home as they fell behind 14-0 to Virginia, but they do have a really good team that rallied to score 42 unanswered points and win the game by a ton. Michigan State is also in a really bad spot here as they just fired their head coach and the entire program is in disarray right now as they are still reeling from their 41-7 loss at home last week against Washington. Maryland is no Washington but they do have a good defense along with some good weapons on offense and they will put up a ton of points in this game until they start to pull away. Michigan State doesn't have the offensive power to come back if they fall behind by a lot either so Maryland will eventually pull away in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Maryland to cover the spread in this game.
Maryland Michigan State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Maryland 35 MSU 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Maryland Terrapins: 5-9 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 12-22 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite. 26-16 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive overs. 12-3 UNDER off 2 consecutive home wins. 25-11 UNDER after scoring 42 points or more last game.
Michigan State Spartans: 8-3 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 20-11 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52. 23-15 UNDER after a loss by 21 or more points. 32-19 UNDER after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
Key Injuries
Maryland Terrapins: D. Duffus (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Gooden (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. G. Gibson (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. N. Avery (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Jennings (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. N. Ray (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Richards (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Brown (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Williams (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. L. Husbands (TE) out for season - Undisclosed.
Michigan State Spartans: S. Ramil (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. T. Hopper (TE) Out indefinitely - Leg. A. VanSumeren (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. G. Broscious (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. H. Joiner III (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Gaoteote (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Jackson (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Melvin (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Berger (RB) Ques Sat - Leg. J. Mangham (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Dellinger (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Adeleye (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. K. Talley (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Schott (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. Q. Carter (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Coley (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Martinez (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I think I have enough proof that we're a team that's built to overcome adversity, and I don't think I need to see us down 14-0 anymore to know that we're capable. Our defense did a tremendous job — shutout the last three quarters, getting the ball back to our offense with those turnovers.” - Mike Locksley after his team’s win against UVA in their last game.
“There’s no excuses. We’ve got to just get it done and find a way to get it done. We had the guys that we had so we’ve got to perform.” - Harlon Barnett after his team’s loss against Washington in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Maryland Terrapins
WR Felton, Tai
WR Prather, Kaden
WR Jones, Jeshaun
TE Dyches, Corey
QB Tagovailoa, Taulia
RB Hemby, Roman
Michigan State Spartans
WR Foster Jr., Montorie
WR Glover, Jaron
WR Mosley, Tre
TE Carr, Maliq
QB Kim, Noah
RB Carter, Nathan
Statistical Leaders
Maryland Terrapins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (889)
Rushing: R. Hemby (243)
Receiving: J. Jones (198)
Touchdowns: R. Hemby (4)
Michigan State Spartans
Passing: N. Kim (707)
Rushing: N. Carter (272)
Receiving: C. Fitzpatrick (164)
Touchdowns: N. Carter (4)
Coaches:
Maryland Terrapins: Mike Locksley (6th season)
Michigan State Spartans: Harlon Barnett (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
