LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Game Preview and Prediction - 10/23/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 23, 2021
Venue:  Vaught Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Where to Watch:  CBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  LSU +10, Ole Miss -10; Over/Under:  75.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  LSU +9.5, Ole Miss -9.5; Over/Under:  75.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  LSU +9, Ole Miss -9; Over/Under:  75.5 points
 

Season Record

LSU Tigers:  4-3 (5th place, SEC West)
Ole Miss Rebels:  5-1 (2nd place, SEC West)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is on a run of 11-1 (10*) PLAYS! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
LSU Tigers:  won at home on Oct. 16 against the Florida Gators 49-42.
Ole Miss Rebels:  won on the road on Oct. 16 against the Tennessee Volunteers 31-26.
 
 
 

LSU Tigers Analysis

LSU is coming into this game with a 4-3 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are not in a good spot with a 2-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 losses came against the Auburn Tigers and the Kentucky Wildcats while their 2 wins came against the Mississippi State Bulldogs and against Florida in their last game. That win snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on as they won that game in a high scoring shootout. Max Johnson played alright in that game as he completed 14/24 passes for 133 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tyrion Davis-Price had a massive game on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 287 yards and 3 touchdowns. He was basically their entire running game in that one. Jaray Jenkins led the receivers with 50 yards and 3 touchdowns on 4 receptions in what was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. Damone Clark led the defense with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones while Jay Ward was right behind him with 6 solo tackles. BJ Ojulari and Maason Smith both led the defense in sacks with 1 each in that game. Clark and Ward along with Dwight McGlothern and Micah Baskerville all had 1 interception each in that game. They have scored 227 points in their 7 games this season averaging 32.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 199 points against them allowing 28.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 390.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 401.6 YPG.
 
 

Ole Miss Rebels Analysis

Ole Miss is coming into this game with a 5-1 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this regular season and they are already off to a good start with a 2-1 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came against the Alabama Crimson Tide while their 2 wins came against the Arkansas Razorbacks and against the Vols in their last game. They are on a 2 game winning streak coming into this one. Matt Corral played alright in their last game but he also struggled at times as he completed 21/38 passes for 231 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. He was injured in that game and will likely not be playing in this one. Corral also led the team in rushing in that game with 195 yards on 30 carries while Jarod Conner had the 2 TDs on the ground. Dontario Drummond led the receivers with 66 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions while Dannis Jackson had 42 yards and 1 TD on 2 receptions as well. Mark Robinson led the defense with 12 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Jake Springer had 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Robinson led the defense in sacks in that game with 2, Springer also had 1 himself while Sam Williams recorded 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game. They have scored 262 points in their first 6 games averaging 43.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 181 points against them allowing 30.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 553 YPG while their defense is allowing 438 YPG. 
 

 

LSU vs Ole Miss Prediction

LSU is coming into this game as a 9 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have shown some real fight in their last few games. In their 4 conference games, they have won 2 of them and kept 1 of them close losing by 5 points to Auburn, only getting smashed in 1 of those 4 games. Ole Miss has started to show some cracks in their last few games, first with a 1 point win at home against Arkansas in a game that they lose if Arkansas makes the 2-PT conversion, and now in their last game winning by just 5 over the Vols. Their starting quarterback Matt Carral will also likely miss this game with an injury. The best bet to place in this game is on LSU to cover the spread here as all signs are pointing toward them.
 
LSU Ole Miss Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 23, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Ole Miss 35 LSU 31.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this LSU Tigers Ole Miss Rebels prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
LSU Tigers: 178-172 ATS in all games. 53-48 ATS as an underdog. 31-27 ATS as a road underdog. 70-57 ATS in road games. 119-117 ATS against conference opponents.
Ole Miss Rebels: 111-120 ATS against conference opponents. 20-31 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 114-134 O/U in all games. 57-61 O/U as a favorite. 76-103 O/U against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
LSU Tigers:  M. Burns (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Evans (DT) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. D. Smith (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Ole Miss Rebels:  M. Corral (QB) Doub Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Sanders (WR) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. C. Warren (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
LSU Tigers: Tyrion Davis-Price is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in rushing yards this season. He is also coming off of a massive game where he had over 250 rushing yards himself. He was a big reason why they won their last game and was a focal point of their offense the whole game. Look for that to be the same here as he gets a lot of touches in this game.
 
Ole Miss Rebels: Dontario Drummond is one player to watch here. He leads his team in receiving yards this season. He is coming off of a game where he led the team in receiving yards and he is one of their biggest playmakers on the team. Their starting QB is out for this one so he will need to pick up the slack in his absence. Look for him to make some big catches and create big plays here to help his team win this game.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I'm not going to blink until the day I die; but our team didn't blink today. Our backs are against the wall, but we took a big step." - Head coach Ed Orgeron after his team’s win against Florida in their last game.
 
 
"I don't know if I'm more excited that we found a way to win or that I didn't get hit with the golf balls that they were throwing at me." - Lane Kiffin after a strange and violent occurrence in the last minute of play in their last game against the Vols.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
LSU Tigers
WR Thomas Jr., Brian 
WR Palmer, Trey 
WR Jenkins, Jaray 
TE Taylor, Kole 
QB Johnson, Max 
RB Davis-Price, Tyrion 
 
Ole Miss Rebels
WR Braylon Sanders 
WR Drummond, Dontario 
WR Jonathan Mingo
TE Rogers, Chase 
QB Corral, Matt 
RB Ealy, Jerrion 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
LSU Tigers
Passing: M. Johnson (1862)
Rushing: T. Davis-Price (575)
Receiving: K. Boutte (508)
Touchdowns: Kayshon Boutte (9)
Sacks: B. Ojulari (6)
Tackles: D. Clark (49)
 
Ole Miss Rebels
Passing: M. Corral (1728)
Rushing: M. Corral (450)
Receiving: D. Drummond (526)
Touchdowns: S. Conner (9)
Sacks: S. Williams (6.5)
Tackles: M. Robinson (23)
 
Coaches:
LSU Tigers: Ed Orgeron (6th season)
Ole Miss Rebels: Lane Kiffin (2nd season)
 

Weather Forecast

76 degrees F mostly sunny, 67% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 6 mph wind speeds S.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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