LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/16/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 16, 2023

Venue:  Davis Wade Stadium, Mississippi State, MS

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  LSU -9.5, MS State +9.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  LSU -9.5, MS State +9.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  LSU -9.5, MS State +9.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

LSU Tigers:  1-1 (0-0) (5th place, SEC West)

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  2-0 (0-0) (3rd place, SEC West)

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LSU Tigers:  won their last game at home against the Grambling State Tigers 72-10.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  won their last game at home against the Arizona Wildcats in overtime 31-24.

LSU is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Grambling State 72-10. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 18/24 passes for 269 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Logan Diggs led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 1 TD. Malik Nabers led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Zy Alexander led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jordan Jefferson led the defense in sacks with 1. Greg Penn III came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Arizona in OT 31-24. Will Rogers was the starting QB and he completed 13/17 passes for 162 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jo'quavious Marks led the team in rushing yards with 123 and 1 TD. Lideatrick Griffin led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Jett Johnson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jett Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1. Jett Johnson came away with 2 interceptions for them while Shawn Preston Jr. and Nathaniel Watson each had 1 in that game.

The current betting odds have LSU listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LSU looked terrible in their season opener as they were embarrassed by Florida State in the 2nd half of that game but they bounced back with a huge win over Grambling State in their last game and they will have some momentum on their side now entering this 1st conference game of the season after finally producing some offense last week. Mississippi State is off to a 2-0 start this season and will have a bit of an advantage being at home in this game but they also barely beat a bad team like Arizona in their last game as they just won that one in OT and now they are taking on one of the better teams in SEC that was ranked 5th in the country entering the season and still has a lot of talent despite not being ranked as high now. LSU had their only win come against a team from the FCS and that is not going to satisfy them so look for them to come out strong in this 1st conference game of the year as they try to erase their season opener and be the team they were expected to be this season. The best way to place a bet here is on LSU to cover the spread in this game. 

LSU Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 16, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is LSU 49 MS State 20.

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LSU Tigers: 6-11 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 3-6 ATS in road games. 24-13 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 14-7 UNDER after gaining 575 or more total yards in their previous game.

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 7-1 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 10 points. 19-10 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games. 53-30 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-1 UNDER after playing a non-conference game.

LSU Tigers:  J. Emery Jr. (RB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. M. Taylor (TE) Prob Sat - Ankle. A. Goodwin (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  J. Albert (S) out for season - Knee. G. Spivey (TE) out for season - Eligibility. S. Traore (TE) Out indefinitely - Eligibility.

“I liked his demeanor. He didn’t lose his cool in some instances where he got his helmet pulled off a couple of times. He was being held … I think he’s growing. These young men are in a process of growing and learning.” - Brian kelly on Denver Harris after his team’s win against Grambling State in their last game. 

“Winning (isn’t) easy. Half of the teams in the country lost today so we’re going to celebrate this one. I could not be more proud of the way that we attacked from the opening kick. Frankly, I didn’t have good enough plans as a coach. There was every opportunity to quit and throw in the towel and players overcame me as a coach. I’m incredibly proud of the resiliency of this team.” - Zach Arnett after his team’s win against Arizona in their last game. 

WR Thomas Jr., Brian 

WR Nabers, Malik 

WR Lacy, Kyren

TE Taylor, Mason 

QB Daniels, Jayden 

RB Bradford, Tre 

WR Robinson, Justin 

WR Thomas, Zavion 

WR Griffin, Lideatrick 

TE Goede, Ryland 

QB Rogers, Will 

RB Marks, Jo'Quavious

Passing: J. Daniels (616)

Rushing: L. Diggs (115)

Receiving: B. Thomas Jr. (220)

Touchdowns: B. Thomas Jr. (3)

Passing: W. Rogers (389)

Rushing: J. Marks (250)

Receiving: L. Griffin (116)

Touchdowns: J. Marks (3)

Coaches:

LSU Tigers: Brian Kelly (2nd season)

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Zach Arnett (2nd season)