Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 4, 2022
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: LSU +2.5, KSU -2.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: LSU +1, KSU -1; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: LSU +2.5, KSU -2.5; Over/Under: 47 points
LSU Tigers: 6-6 (7th place, SEC West)
Kansas State Wildcats: 7-5 (5th place, Big 12)
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LSU Tigers vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis
LSU Tigers: won at home on November 27 against the Texas A&M Aggies 27-24.
Kansas State Wildcats: lost on the road on Nov. 26 against the Texas longhorns 22-17.
LSU Tigers Analysis
LSU is coming into this game after finishing their regular season with a 6-6 record overall and they will be playing their first neutral site game this season in this game. Their last loss was against the Arkansas Razorbacks in overtime but they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and the Texas A&M Aggies in their last game, another SEC team. Max Johnson completed 22/38 passes for 306 yards and 3 touchdowns in that one. Tyrion Davis-Price led the team in rushing with 84 yards on 19 carries. Jaray Jenkins had a very nice day as he led the receivers with 169 yards and 2 touchdowns on 8 receptions while Trey Palmer had 64 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions. Damone Clark led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. He also led the defense in sacks in that game with 2.5 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 325 points in their 12 games this season averaging 27.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 304 points against them allowing 25.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 373.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 373.7 YPG.
Kansas State Wildcats Analysis
KSU is coming into this matchup after finishing their college football season with a 7-5 record overall and they are 1-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. Their last win was against the West Virginia Mountaineers but they have gone on a 2 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Baylor Bears and the Texas Longhorns in their last game. Will Howard completed 9-13 passes for 65 yards in that one. Deuce Vaughn had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 143 yards and 1 touchdown on 24 carries while Howard also ran in 1 TD himself. Tyrone Howell led the receivers with 14 yards on 1 reception in what was a very quiet day for the passing game and the receiving corps. Daniel Green led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Eli Huggins recorded the only sack in that game for them while TJ Smith came up with the lone interception in that one. They have scored 316 points in their 12 games this season averaging 26.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 253 points against them allowing 21.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 355.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 348 YPG.
LSU vs Kansas State Prediction
LSU is coming into this TaxAct Texas Bowl as a 2.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Neither team will be playing any college football bowl games in December here. LSU finished off their season strong with 2 straight wins and they had to win those college football games just to become eligible for this game at all and make a bowl appearance now that bowl season is here. KSU put together a decent season this year but they were not playing well near the end and finished off on a 2 game losing streak. Neither of these teams went to their conference championships and neither is anywhere near going to the college football playoff national championship. Ed Orgeron will not be the coach of this team anymore so they are getting ready to usher in a new era here. A great way to start that off would be with a win in this bowl game so the players have some motivation to win this game here and finish off their year on a good note with some positives. The best bet to place in this game is on LSU to cover the spread or on them to win this game straight up on the moneyline.
LSU Kansas State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Tuesday, January 4, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is LSU 27 KSU 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
LSU Tigers: 15-9 ATS in a bowl game. 21-13 ATS in all games. 6-3 ATS as an underdog. 7-2 ATS as a neutral field underdog. 6-1 ATS as a neutral field underdog of 7 points or less. 8-3 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 6-1 ATS against Big 12 conference opponents. 7-0 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest. 6-0 ATS after a bye week.
Kansas State Wildcats: 7-14 ATS in a bowl game. 1-6 ATS in major bowl games (played in January). 3-6 ATS on a neutral field where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 1-6 ATS in January games. 2-7 O/U when the line is +3 to -3. 1-6 O/U as a favorite. 9-16 O/U after playing a conference game.
LSU Tigers: S. Ryan (DB) Ques Jan 4 - Undisclosed injury. C. Wire (T) Ques Jan 4 - Lower Body injury. M. Smith (DL) Ques Jan 4 - Undisclosed injury.
Kansas State Wildcats: Skylar Thompson (QB) Ques Jan 4 - Undisclosed injury. J. McPherson (DB) Ques Jan 4 - Personal. J. Ervin (RB) Ques Jan 4 - Undisclosed injury.
"How about them Tigers baby?. We just kept preaching to our football team to keep on fighting, keep on fighting and something good is going to happen." - Ed Orgeron on his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game.
"With the players we have on offense, we should be able to get a yard. That's the bottom line." - Head coach Chris Klieman on his team’s loss against Texas in their last game.
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Kirklin, Jontre
WR Jenkins, Jaray
TE Bech, Jack
QB Nussmeier, Garrett
RB Davis-Price, Tyrion
Kansas State Wildcats
WR Knowles, Malik
WR Brooks, Phillip
WR Weber, Landry
TE Lenners, Nick
QB Howard, Will
RB Vaughn, Deuce
FB Dineen, Jax
Passing: M. Johnson (2814)
Rushing: T. Davis-Price (1004)
Receiving: K. Boutte (508)
Touchdowns: Kayshon Boutte (9)
Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: S. Thompson (1844)
Rushing: D. Vaughn (1246)
Receiving: D. Vaughn (471)
Touchdowns: D. Vaughn (18)
LSU Tigers: Brad Davis (1st season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (3rd season)