Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 15, 2022
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: LSU +3, Florida -3; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: LSU +2.5, Florida -2.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: LSU +2.5, Florida -2.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
LSU Tigers: 4-2 (2-1) (4th place, SEC West)
Florida Gators: 4-2 (1-2) (4th place, SEC East)
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LSU Tigers: lost their last game at home against the Tennessee Volunteers 40-13.
Florida Gators: won their last game at home against the Missouri Tigers 24-17.
LSU Tigers vs Florida Gators Preview and Analysis
LSU is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd road game of the season here as they are 1-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 4th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 2-1. They lost against the Tennessee Vols in their last game at home 40-13. Jayden Daniels started that game at QB and he completed 32/45 passes for 300 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing with 38 yards on 16 rushing attempts. Malik Nabers led the team in receiving with 80 yards on 6 receptions. Jarrick Bernard led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them and no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.
Florida is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 4-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 4th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-2. They won against the Missouri Tigers in their last game at home 24-17. Anthony Richardson started that game at QB and he completed 8/14 passes for 66 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Montrell Johnson led the team in rushing with 86 yards and 1 TD on 8 carries. Justin Shorter led the team in receiving with 20 yards on 1 reception. Ventrell Miller led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Princely Umanmielen, Brenton Cox, Gervon Dexter, and Chris McClellan each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Jaydon Hill came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.
LSU vs Florida Prediction
The current betting odds have LSU listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LSU just got thrashed by Tennessee in their last game and they were at home for it, but Tennessee has proven themselves to be one of the best teams in the country right now while LSU is still trying to get this program kickstarted with new head coach Brian Kelly. This season already seems like a write off for them as they have no real chance of competing in the SEC with the way they have started but now the pressure is off them a bit and Kelly can focus on fixing their issues in these games and improving the team for a big year next season. Florida is another team that had a lot of hype surrounding them with their new head coach but they have looked just as bad in their games as they have struggled to beat good conference opponents, their only win in the conference coming in a 24-17 win over Mizzou last week. LSU has a lot of talent on their team and they are going to feel embarrassed after the way they lost at home last week. They are coming for the upset here and have a very good chance of pulling it off. The best way to place a bet here is on LSU to cover the spread in this game.
LSU Florida Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 15, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is LSU 27 Florida 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
LSU Tigers: 20-14 ATS after allowing 37 points or more last game. 11-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52. 31-23 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3.
Florida Gators: 12-19 ATS in all games. 7-17 ATS as a favorite. 27-15 UNDER off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite.
Key Injuries
LSU Tigers: S. Banks (CB) Mid Nov - Spine. R. Jones (CB) out for season - Suspension. M. Smith (DL) out for season - Knee.
Florida Gators: D. Moore (CB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Conner (OL) Out indefinitely - Thumb. A. Boardingham (TE) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. J. Miller III (QB) Out indefinitely - Thumb.
Notable Quotes
"We expected to play much better. When you fumble the opening kickoff and give an extra possession to a team that plays fast and loves extra possessions ... you put yourself in a huge hole." - Brian Kelly after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their last game.
"What a story, right? The discipline to continue to rehab, to stay the course. He's got passion about this game. I always felt like watching him in spring ball that he was one of the best players that we had. That showed up today. ... He was a difference-maker today." - Billy Napier after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game.
Starting Lineups
LSU Tigers
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Boutte, Kayshon
WR Nabers, Malik
TE Taylor, Mason
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Cain, Noah
Florida Gators
WR Henderson, Xzavier
WR Shorter, Justin
WR Pearsall, Ricky
TE Zanders, Dante
QB Richardson, Anthony
RB Wright, Nay'Quan
Statistical Leaders
LSU Tigers
Passing: J. Daniels (1215)
Rushing: J. Daniels (359)
Receiving: M. Nabers (362)
Touchdowns: A. Goodwin (5)
Florida Gators
Passing: A. Richardson (1182)
Rushing: M. Johnson Jr. (368)
Receiving: J. Shorter (334)
Touchdowns: A. Richardson (5)
Coaches:
LSU Tigers: Brian Kelly (1st season)
Florida Gators: Billy Napier (1st season)