LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/02/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Mar 01, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 2, 2022
Venue:  Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR
Where to Watch:  ESPN2

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  LSU +5.5, Arkansas -5.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  LSU +5.5, Arkansas -5.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  LSU +5.5, Arkansas -5.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
 

Season Record

LSU Tigers:  20-9 (6th place, SEC)
Arkansas Razorbacks:  23-6 (3rd place, SEC)
 
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LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
LSU Tigers:  3-2 last 5
Arkansas Razorbacks:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

LSU Tigers Analysis

LSU is coming into this game with a 20-9 record overall and they are 2-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 17th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 8-8 in their conference games this season. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. Their 2 losses in that span were against the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Kentucky Wildcats while their win came against the Missouri Tigers in their last game. Tari Eason off the bench led the team in points in that game with 18 while Brandon Murray was next on the team with 11 points. Xavier Pinson led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Shareef O'Neal led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 51% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.9 PPG against them. LSU has an ATS record of 18-11 this season and their O/U record is 10-19.
 
 

Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis

Arkansas is coming into this game with a 23-6 record overall and they are 16-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 17th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 12-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 13 of their last 14 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Alabama Crimson Tide while their 4 straight wins since then came against the Missouri Tigers, the Tennessee Volunteers, the Florida Gators, and the Kentucky Wildcats in their last game. JD Notae led the team in points in that game with 30 while Jaylin Williams was next on the team with 16 points. Notae led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Williams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.3% from the field, 27.8% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 18-11 this season and their O/U record is 16-13.
 

 

LSU vs Arkansas Prediction

LSU is coming into this game off of a win in their last one but they have lost 2 straight games prior to that win and they have not been playing that well recently. They have been very bad on the road recently as they have lost 6 of their last 7 games on the road. They are only 2-7 on the road this season and all of those losses came against conference opponents. They have struggled against conference opponents this season because of their poor play on the road and they are only 8-8 against conference opponents. They are going up against an Arkansas team that has been great against conference opponents this season with a 12-4 record and they have been even better at home as they are 16-2 there. They have been heating up a lot recently as well as they have 1 loss in their last 14 games and they have won 4 straight coming into this. Arkansas is clearly a much stronger team than LSU is and LSU is likely going to keep on struggling in this game as they have been awful in all games on the road this season. Arkansas will have a lot of confidence in this game after taking down the number 7 ranked Kentucky team in their last game and they should continue to play that well at home here. Arkansas will win this game by double digits and keep on rolling through the SEC.
 
LSU Arkansas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 2, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Arkansas 88 LSU 70.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
LSU Tigers: 7-12 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 106-71 OVER off a win against a conference rival. 21-9 OVER in road games.
Arkansas Razorbacks: 17-10 ATS in all games. 32-18 ATS in all home games. 11-4 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 
 

Key Injuries

 
LSU Tigers:  A. Miller (G) out for season - Knee injury.
Arkansas Razorbacks:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We spent the last couple of days talking about getting back to an identity, getting back to who we were. If we do that we're really good, I showed a highlight tape before the game of us earlier in the year turning our defense into offense and I think our guys noticed it. We played a little more complementary basketball." - Will Wade on prepping his team for the last few games of the season.
 
 
"What the group has done, they've weathered a really, really tough schedule. And not only did they kind of weather it, but they dominated it winning basketball games against some incredible teams." - Eric Musselman after his team’s win against Kentucky.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
LSU Tigers
D. Days 
B. Murray 
X. Pinson 
E. Reid 
M. Wilkinson
 
Arkansas Razorbacks
J. Notae 
Au’Diese Toney 
S. Umude 
T. Wade 
J. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
LSU Tigers
PPG: T. Eason (16.5)
APG: X. Pinson (4.6)
Reb/G: D. Days (7.8)
 
Arkansas Razorbacks
PPG: J. Notae (19.1)
APG: J. Notae (3.6)
Reb/G: J. Williams (9.7)
 
Coaches:
LSU Tigers: Will Wade (5th season)
Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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