Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/29/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Sep 25, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, September 29, 2023
Venue:  Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Louisville -3, NC State +3; Over/Under:  55 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Louisville -3, NC State +3; Over/Under:  55 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Louisville -3, NC State +3; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Season Record

Louisville Cardinals:  4-0 (2-0) (3rd place, ACC)
North Carolina State Wolfpack:  3-1 (1-0) (6th place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the NCAAF as he is 74-33 his last 107 CFB plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Louisville Cardinals:  won their last game at home against the Boston College Eagles 56-28.
North Carolina State Wolfpack:  won their last game on the road against the Virginia Cavaliers 24-21.


Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Preview and Analysis


Louisville is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Boston College 56-28. Jack Plummer was the starting QB and he completed 18/21 passes for 388 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jawhar Jordan led the team in rushing yards with 134 and 2 TDs. Ahmari Huggins-Bruce led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 2 TDs. Jaylin Alderman led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Ashton Gillotte led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
 
 
 
NC State is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Virginia 24-21. Brennan Armstrong was the starting QB and he completed 15/30 passes for 180 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brennan Armstrong led the team in rushing yards with 64. Kevin "KC" Concepcion led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Caden Fordham led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jy'Kevious Hibbler led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Sean Brown and Aydan White each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Louisville vs North Carolina State Prediction

The current betting odds have Louisville listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Louisville has been really good in their games this season. They are 4-0 overall and they have also won 2 conference games already. Their offense has looked really good in their last few games too as they have been scoring points for fun in their games. NC State is 3-1 this season but they haven't played many good teams in those games and when they had to go on the road against Virginia last week, they barely won the game by 3 points and Virginia isn't that good. NC State has been better with their offense under Brennan Armstrong but they still need a lot of work while this Louisville offense has been on fire putting up a ton of points in their games. NC State doesn't have a great defense either as they do give up a lot of points and they are going to get shredded by this strong Louisville offense to the point where there will be no way back in this game for NC State. The best way to place a bet here is on Louisville to cover the spread in this game. 

Louisville North Carolina State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 29, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Louisville 41 NC State 24.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Louisville Cardinals North Carolina State Wolfpack prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Louisville Cardinals: 6-3 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 12-5 ATS after playing a conference game. 17-9 OVER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 20-8 OVER after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored.

North Carolina State Wolfpack: 15-32 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 4-10 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 22-15 OVER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 7-2 OVER off a road no-cover where the team won as a favorite.

Key Injuries


Louisville Cardinals:  J. Minkins (DB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. M. Griffin (DB) out for season - Leg.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  R. Ashford (S) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. McMahon (OL) day-to-day - Knee. J. Houston (RB) out for season - Redshirt. J. Harris (S) out for season - Pectoral.

Notable Quotes


“I thought it was a great day for Jack. He had a really good week of practice. I say all the time that this guy works at it. He puts in the time. He is committed. He wants to do well.” - Jeff Brohm on Jack Plummer after his team’s win against Boston College in their last game. 


“Penalties won us the game.” - Brennan Armstrong after their win against UVA in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Louisville Cardinals
WR Thrash, Jamari 
WR Calloway, Jimmy  
WR Coleman, Kevin 
TE Lifson, Josh 
QB Plummer, Jack 
RB Jordan, Jawhar 

North Carolina State Wolfpack
WR Gray, Julian
WR Lesane, Keyon 
WR Concepcion, Kevin 
TE Toudle, Christopher 
QB Armstrong, Brennan 
RB Houston, Jordan 

Statistical Leaders


Louisville Cardinals
Passing: J. Plummer (1120)
Rushing: J. Jordan (478)
Receiving: J. Thrash (400)
Touchdowns: J. Jordan (7)

North Carolina State Wolfpack
Passing: B. Armstrong (859)
Rushing: B. Armstrong (225)
Receiving: K. Concepcion (238)
Touchdowns: D. Mimms III (4)

Coaches:
Louisville Cardinals: Jeff Brohm (1st season)
North Carolina State Wolfpack: Dave Doeren (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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