Louisville Cardinals vs Miami-FL Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/18/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN Networks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Louisville -1.5, Miami-FL +1.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Louisville -2, Miami-FL +2; Over/Under:  47.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Louisville -1.5, Miami-FL +1.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Louisville Cardinals:  9-1 (6-1) (2nd place, ACC)

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  6-4 (2-4) (10th place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the NCAAF as he is 94-55 his last 149 CFB plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Louisville Cardinals:  won their last game at home against the Virginia Cavaliers 31-24.

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  lost their last game on the road against the Florida State Seminoles 27-20.

Louisville is entering this game with a 9-1 record overall and they have a 6-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Virginia 31-24. Jack Plummer was the starting QB and he completed 19/28 passes for 243 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jawhar Jordan led the team in rushing yards with 95. Ahmari Huggins-Bruce led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Devin Neal led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Ashton Gillotte and Jared Dawson each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Devin Neal came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 2-4 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Florida State 27-20. Emory Williams was the starting QB and he completed 8/23 passes for 175 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Donald Chaney Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 85. Jacolby George led the receivers with 153 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. James Williams led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Francisco Mauigoa led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Louisville listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Louisville has looked really good in their games all season with their 9-1 record overall and their 6-1 conference record. Florida State is the only undefeated team in the conference this year while Louisville is the only 1 loss team so right now they have complete control of their own fate. Meanwhile, Miami-FL is only 6-4 overall this season and they have been struggling a lot more in their games lately with their 2-4 conference record. They have been struggling against ACC opponents all season and Louisville has their eyes set on the ACC Championship. Miami-FL also had a big rivalry game last week against Florida State and put a lot of energy into that game to try and knock off a top 4 team in the country so this will also be a let down game for them. The best way to place a bet here is on Louisville to cover the spread in this game. 

Louisville Miami-FL Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Louisville 27 Miami-FL 21.

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Louisville Cardinals: 15-7 ATS after playing a conference game. 12-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 9-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 29-17 UNDER after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. 

Miami-FL Hurricanes: 7-13 ATS in home games. 23-43 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 2-10 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. 8-4 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 10-1 UNDER after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. 

Louisville Cardinals:  J. Brownlee Jr. (DB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. R. Brown (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. M. Griffin (DB) out for season - Leg.

Miami-FL Hurricanes:  E. Williams (QB) day-to-day - Arm. A. Allen (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. E. Arroyo (TE) day-to-day - Undisclosed. N. Kelly (DL) out for season - Undisclosed. T. Citizen (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. S. Okunlola (OL) out for season - Lower Body.

“Proud of our guys to hang in there when things were not going our way, play to the end and find a way to make enough big plays to win the game and get some stops at the end, you know, that’s really how football works." - Jeff Brohm after his team’s win against UVA in their last game. 

“There’s a lot of development, a lot of improvement. We came here to win. We didn’t come here for a consolation prize." - Mario Cristobal after his team’s loss against FSU in their last game. 

WR Thrash, Jamari 

WR Calloway, Jimmy  

WR Coleman, Kevin 

TE Lifson, Josh 

QB Plummer, Jack 

RB Jordan, Jawhar 

WR Young, Colbie 

WR George, Jacolby 

WR Restrepo, Xavier 

TE McCormick, Cam

QB Van Dyke, Tyler 

RB Parrish Jr., Henry

Passing: J. Plummer (2402)

Rushing: J. Jordan (976)

Receiving: J. Thrash (734)

Touchdowns: J. Jordan (12)

Passing: T. Van Dyke (2086)

Rushing: H. Parrish Jr. (469)

Receiving: J. George (707)

Touchdowns: J. George (7)

Coaches:

Louisville Cardinals: Jeff Brohm (1st season)

Miami-FL Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (2nd season)