Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ULM +29, LSU -29; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ULM +29, LSU -29; Over/Under: 57.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ULM +28.5, LSU -28.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: 4-6 (3rd place, Sun Belt Group B)
LSU Tigers: 4-6 (7th place, SEC West)
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Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs LSU Tigers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: lost at home on Nov. 13 against the Arkansas State Red Wolves 27-24.
LSU Tigers: lost at home on Nov. 13 against the Arkansas Razorbacks in overtime 16-13.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Analysis
The UL Monroe Warhawks are coming into this college football game with a 4-6 record overall and they are 0-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this one on a three-game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Rhett Rodriguez did not play well in that game as he completed 12/29 passes for 160 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Quarterback Malik Jackson had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 166 yards and 2 touchdowns on 22 carries. Jeremiah Knight led the receivers with 76 yards on 5 receptions while Jevin Frett had 53 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. Zack Woodard led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 8 assisted ones. Woodard also recorded the only sack in that game for them while Quae Drake and Keilos Swinney both came up with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 221 points in their 10 games this season averaging 22.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 354 points against them allowing 35.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 330.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 464.4 YPG.
LSU Tigers Analysis
LSU is coming into this game with a 4-6 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Max Johnson did not play well as he completed 3/6 passes for 21 yards before getting replaced by Garrett Nussmeier who did not play any better in that game as he completed 18/31 passes for 179 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Tyrion Davis-Price had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 106 yards on 28 carries. Jack Bech led the receivers with 66 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Trey Palmer led the team in receptions with 6 for 45 yards. Micah Baskerville and Damone Clark both led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted ones each. Baskerville also led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 271 points in their 10 games this season averaging 27.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 266 points against them allowing 26.6 PPG. The LSU offense is averaging 366 YPG while the LSU defense is allowing 387.7 YPG.
Louisiana-Monroe vs LSU Prediction
ULM is coming into this game as a 29 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams need to win out to become bowl eligible so this is going to be a competitive game. LSU has not been playing well this season and are at the bottom of their conference. ULM is not playing well either but they still have a chance to salvage their season with a bowl game. The best bet to place in this game is on ULM to cover the spread as they will be trying hard for the wijn in this game and LSU has not been good enough on defense this season to be blowing teams out by that much.
Louisiana-Monroe LSU Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (9:00 pm ET start time) is LSU 31 ULM 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: 14-23 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 114-137 ATS in all games. 89-97 ATS as an underdog. 62-72 ATS as a road underdog. 13-22 ATS against SEC opponents.
LSU Tigers: 179-173 ATS in all games. 16-13 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 122-113 ATS after playing a conference game. 59-55 ATS in non-conference games. 69-65 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: J. Sparks (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. A. Henry (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. R. Rodriguez (QB) Out indefinitely - Lung injury.
LSU Tigers: C. Wire (T) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. M. Burns (DB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. S. Ryan (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"This is what you get when you're building a program." - Terry Bowden on their loss against Arkansas State.
"That is on me. I have to make the play and be smarter in overtime. I can't turn the ball over." - Garrett Nussmeier on throwing the interception in OT that ended up costing them the game.
Starting Lineups
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
WR Jackson, Zach
WR Frett, Jevin
WR Boogie Knight
WR Sparks, Jared
TE Rasmussen, Zach
QB Rogers, Chandler
RB Andrew Henry
LSU Tigers
WR Thomas Jr., Brian
WR Palmer, Trey
WR Jenkins, Jaray
TE Bech, Jack
QB Johnson, Max
RB Davis-Price, Tyrion
Statistical Leaders
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Passing: C. Rogers (1259)
Rushing: A. Henry (479)
Receiving: B. Knight (484)
Touchdowns: A. Henry (4)
LSU Tigers
Passing: M. Johnson (2189)
Rushing: T. Davis-Price (838)
Receiving: K. Boutte (508)
Touchdowns: Kayshon Boutte (9)
Coaches:
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: Terry Bowden (1st season)
LSU Tigers: Ed Orgeron (6th season)