Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs South Alabama Jaguars Game Preview and Prediction - 10/02/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

 
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 2, 2021
Venue:  Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  ULL -12.5, USA +12.5; Over/Under:  53 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  ULL -12.5, USA +12.5; Over/Under:  53 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  ULL -12.5, USA +12.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points
 

Season Record

Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns:  3-1 (1st place, Sun Belt Group A)
South Alabama Jaguars:  3-0 (3rd place, Sun Belt Group A)
 
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Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs South Alabama Jaguars Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns:  won on the road on Sep. 25 against the Georgia Southern Eagles 28-20.
South Alabama Jaguars:  won at home on Sep. 18 against the Alcorn State Braves 28-21.
 
 
 

Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns Analysis

ULL is coming into this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 2nd conference matchup of the season and they are already off to a great start being 1-0 in conference games this season. Their season started off rocky as they lost to the Texas Longhorns but they have quickly recovered with 3 straight wins against the Nicholls State Colonels, the Ohio Bobcats, and against Georgia Southern in their last game. Levi Lewis played a great game as he completed 17/28 passes for 249 yards and 3 touchdowns. Montrell Johnson led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 13 carries but their run game was not too strong in that one. Dontae Fleming led the receivers with 70 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions but no one player really stood out on this offense in that game. Zi'Yon Hill led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Andre Jones had 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted one and Asjlin Washington also had 4 solo tackles. Kendall Wilkerson and Montrell Johnson both had 1 sack each for the defense while Ferrod Gardner and Lorenzo McCaskill both had 1 combined sack in that game. Percy Butler came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 122 points in their first 4 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 96 points against them. Their offense is averaging 423 YPG while their defense is allowing 412.3 YPG.
 
 

South Alabama Jaguars Analysis

South Alabama is coming into this game with a 3-0 record overall and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their first conference matchup of the season. Their season is off to a great start with 3 straight wins over the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, the Bowling Green Falcons, and against Alcorn State in their last game. Jake Bentley played alright in that game as he completed 14/24 passes for 158 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Kareem Walker had a massive day in the run game as he led the team in rushing with 150 yards and 3 touchdowns on 23 carries. Bryan Hill also found the end zone on the ground in that one with 51 yards on 9 carries. Jalen Tolbert led the receivers with 54 yards on 2 receptions while Jalen Wayne was right behind him with 51 receiving yards on 4 receptions but other than that, it was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. A.J. DeShazor led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Tre Young came away from that game with the only interception for his team but 5 different players on the defense were able to get to the quarterback for a sack. They have scored 81 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 47 points against them. Their offense is averaging 358.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 291 YPG. 
 

 

Louisiana Lafayette vs South Alabama Prediction

After losing in their season opener, ULL has been scoring at least 27 points in each of their games. South Alabama has also been scoring over 20 points per game to start their season. South Alabama is still undefeated this year and even though they have played 1 less game, they will carry that record with pride coming into this conference game. Both teams will fight hard here and both teams can score points when they need to. The spread is a little large in favor of ULL but this will likely be a much closer game. The best bet to place here is on South Alabama to cover the spread here. 
 
Louisiana Lafayette South Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 2, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is ULL 27 USA 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: 34-27 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 19-14 ATS as a road favorite. 77-61 ATS in road games.
South Alabama Jaguars: 50-63 ATS in all games. 22-31 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 34-40 ATS as an underdog. 24-32 ATS in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns:  J. Harrington (OL) out for season - Lower Body injury. C. Rubio (OL) out for season - Lower Body injury. K. Almendares (K) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
South Alabama Jaguars:  P. Rosette (S) Out for season - Knee injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: Levi Lewis is one player to watch in this game. He leads the team in passing yards and he has been playing great all season for them. He is coming off of a great performance where he threw for almost 250 yards and 3 touchdowns. He will want to follow that one up with another great game so look for him to go off here.
 
South Alabama Jaguars: Kareem Walker is one player to watch in this one.He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored. He is coming off of a massive game with 150 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is a big part of this offense and will need to be involved heavily if they want to win this game so look for him to get a lot of touches here.
 

Notable Quotes

“He (was) extremely sharp in training camp and so far this season and he is having a good week this week.” - Billy Napier on Nate Snyder taking over as the starting kicker this week.
 
 
“That was really exciting to get those guys back. Our training staff and (strength coach) Matt Shadeed, they’ve done a tremendous job of working on these guys and getting them back. Those players themselves have been relentless in their effort to get back. They basically live in the training room right now, but that’s awesome. That’s what they should be doing. And I think it’s an indicator of how much our guys actually care about getting out there and playing on Saturdays.” - Kane Wommack on the offensive line getting healthier.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
WR LeBlanc, Peter 
WR Lacy, Kyren 
WR Williams, Jalen 
TE Johnson, Neal 
TE Lumpkin, Johnny 
QB Lewis, Levi 
RB Smith, Chris 
 
South Alabama Jaguars
WR Tolbert, Jalen 
WR Wayne, Jalen 
WR Lacy, Caullin 
TE Crum, Brandon 
TE Sefcik, Lincoln 
QB Bentley, Jake 
RB Walker, Kareem 

Statistical Leaders

 
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Passing: L. Lewis (1047)
Rushing: C. Smith (191)
Receiving: D. Fleming (152)
Touchdowns: M. Johnson (4)
Sacks: C. Manac (1.5)
Tackles: P. Butler (14)
 
South Alabama Jaguars
Passing: J. Bentley (684)
Rushing: K. Walker (208)
Receiving: J. Tolbert (317)
Touchdowns: K. Walker (4)
Sacks: S. Jennings (2)
Tackles: Y. Banks (9)
 
Coaches:
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: Billy Napier (4th season)
South Alabama Jaguars: Kane Wommack (1st season)
 

Weather Forecast

85 degrees F isolated thunderstorms, 75% humidity, 30% chance of rain, up to 10 mph wind speeds SE.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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