by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 01, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 5, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Rams +3, Packers -3; Over/Under: 40 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Rams +3.5, Packers -3.5; Over/Under: 39 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Rams +3, Packers -3; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Rams: 3-5 (3rd place, NFC West)
Green Bay Packers: 2-5 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Los Angeles Rams: lost their last game on the road against the Dallas Cowboys 43-20.
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game at home against the Minnesota Vikings 24-10.
Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Rams are entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 43-20. Matthew Stafford was the starting QB and he completed 13/22 passes for 162 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception before leaving injured and getting replaced by Brett Rypien who completed 5/10 passes for 42 yards. Royce Freeman led the team in rushing yards with 44 and 1 TD. Darrell Henderson led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Christian Rozeboom led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Aaron Donald led the defense in sacks with 2. Jordan Fuller came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 24-10. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 24/41 passes for 229 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jordan Love led the team in rushing yards with 34. Jayden Reed led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 4 receptions. De'Vondre Campbell led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Preston Smith led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Rams vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rams listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rams are only 3-5 this season and haven't looked good at all in their games lately, especially since they are coming off a brutal loss to the Cowboys last week by over 20 points. They are on the road again in this game and could be without Matt Stafford now too, but there is still a ton of talent on this offense for the backup to come in and shine. The Packers have been even worse this season with their 2-5 record overall and they have done nothing but lose and look terrible in their 2 games back from their bye week. The Packers are at home for a 2nd straight week but with the way they have been playing lately there is no way to lay points with this team even if the Rams are rolling out a backup QB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rams to cover the spread in this game.
Rams Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 5, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Rams 21 Packers 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Rams: 20-41 ATS in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points. 0-6 ATS in November games. 14-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 11-2 UNDER after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.
Green Bay Packers: 5-1 ATS against NFC West division opponents. 13-7 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 11-2 UNDER in weeks 5 through 9. 10-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Rams: P. Nacua (WR) day-to-day - Knee. M. Stafford (QB) day-to-day - Thumb. H. Long (TE) day-to-day - Thigh. R. Havenstein (OL) day-to-day - Calf. B. Brown III (NT) Early Dec - Knee. K. Williams (RB) Late Nov - Ankle. R. Rivers (RB) Late Nov - Knee. J. Taylor II (DB) Out indefinitely - Groin. S. Bennett (QB) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Green Bay Packers: Z. Anderson (S) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Campbell (LB) day-to-day - Ankle. J. Alexander (CB) day-to-day - Back. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Savage (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We ended up recognizing that they were in a pressure situation, and we had a miscommunication between Matthew and Cooper in regards to a route concept that has been one that we’ve activated and had a lot of success with it. That was a tough one for us.” - Sean McVay after his team’s loss against the Cowboys in their last game.
“Well, that was obviously tough to watch. Just way too many mistakes.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s loss against the Vikings in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Rams
WR Atwell, Tutu
WR Nacua, Puka
WR KUPP, COOPER
TE HIGBEE, TYLER
QB STAFFORD, MATTHEW
RB Freeman, Royce
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Rams
Passing: M. Stafford (2070)
Rushing: K. Williams (456)
Receiving: P. Nacua (795)
Touchdowns: K. Williams (7)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (1492)
Rushing: A. Dillon (266)
Receiving: J. Reed (314)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (5)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Rams: Sean McVay (7th season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
