Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/27/2025

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Sunday, April 27, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  209 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3, Timberwolves -3; Over/Under:  209 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  208.5 points

Los Angeles Lakers:  50-32 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Los Angeles Lakers:  5-5 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10

The Lakers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 19-22 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves. LeBron James led the team in points in that game with 38 while Austin Reaves was next on the team with 20 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while LeBron James led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 47.4% from the field, 42.5% from 3-point range, and 65% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 46-37-2 this season and their O/U record is 42-43.

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 25-16 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Lakers. Jaden McDaniels led the team in points in that game with 30 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 29 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Anthony Edwards led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.4% from the field, 36.1% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 41-43-1 this season and their O/U record is 45-40.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Lakers and the 6th seeded Timberwolves from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Timberwolves are leading this series 2-1 after winning game 3 at home. The Timberwolves took a 2-1 series lead with a 116-104 win over the Lakers in the 3rd game of this series and that game looked a lot like the 1st game. It was a back and forth game in the 1st half, but the Timberwolves eventually took control of the game in the 2nd half and never looked back once they started to get a big lead. The Timberwolves have looked like the better team in this series even though they are the lower seed. They came out really strong in the 1st game to flip the home advantage and they readjusted after losing the 2nd game by a lot. The Timberwolves do have some playoff experience to lean on this series from their deep run in the playoffs last year and they can take advantage of the Lakers who haven't been good on the road this year. The Lakers have a 19-22 road record this season and there is going to be a lot of pressure on them to win this game now. The Timberwolves have looked really good on their home court this season and they are going to bring their best effort to take a 3-1 series lead, especially since they have a chance to get their revenge on Luka Doncic who kicked them out of the playoffs last season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Lakers Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 27, 2025 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 112 Lakers 106.

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Los Angeles Lakers: 37-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 49-34 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 3-0 ATS on the road when trailing in a playoff series. 9-4 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 12-33 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 3-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5. 4-8 1H ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 24-18 UNDER at home off a home win. 

Los Angeles Lakers:  M. Kleber (PF) Day To Day - Foot.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Dillingham (PG) Day To Day - Ankle.

“They’re big, they’re long, they’re athletic, they pressure the basketball, they make everything tough. We’re going to have some turnovers.” - JJ Redick after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in game 3 of this series on Friday.

“Our best closing effort of the year, no doubt.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in game 3 of this series on Friday.

PG Luka Doncic

SG Austin Reaves

SF Rui Hachimura

PF LeBron James

C Jaxson Hayes

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: L. Dončić (28.2)

APG: L. James (8.2)

Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.2)

PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

Coaches:

Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (1st season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)