Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/25/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, April 25, 2025
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3, Timberwolves -3; Over/Under:  206 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3, Timberwolves -3; Over/Under:  206.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  206.5 points

Season Record

Los Angeles Lakers:  50-32 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Lakers:  6-4 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10


Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis


The Lakers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 19-22 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 31 while LeBron James was next on the team with 21 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Luka Dončić led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 45.3% from the field, 20.7% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.2 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 46-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 41-43.



The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 25-16 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Lakers. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 27 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 25 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, and Mike Conley Jr. each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 38% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 40-43-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-40.


Lakers vs Timberwolves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Lakers and the 6th seeded Timberwolves from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Lakers won game 2 at home. The Lakers evened up the series with a 94-85 win over the Timberwolves and they looked a lot better in that game. They lost the opening game on their home court 117-95, but they responded well in game 2 as they managed to keep a lead for most of the night. The defense was much better for the Lakers in that game too, but the Timberwolves also looked great on defense in that game. They still held the Lakers to 95 points in the win and they haven't allowed the Lakers to score 100 points in either game in this series. Now the Timberwolves are going back home with a chance to take a lead in the series and they weren't much better on their home court this year with their 25-16 road record, but the Lakers were a much different team on the road with their 19-22 road record. Defense is going to be a key part of the game plan for the Timberwolves to beat the Lakers and just like the Lakers responded to their loss in game 2, the Timberwolves are going to bring their best effort to respond on their home court. The Lakers also have a lot more pressure on them to get the home advantage back in this series so look for the Timberwolves to take advantage of that and beat a Lakers team that has struggled in road games all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Lakers Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 25, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 104 Lakers 96.
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NBA Betting Trends


Los Angeles Lakers: 78-51 ATS after playing a home game. 25-18 ATS on the road versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 22-11 ATS on the road when playing 6 or less games in 14 days. 20-13 OVER on the road when the line is +3 to -3. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 11-33 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 2-7 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5. 3-6 ATS at home after scoring 100 points or less. 7-2 OVER in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Lakers:  M. Kleber (PF) Day To Day - Foot.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Dillingham (PG) Day To Day - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“I think tonight was just more about getting that urgency button switched back on.” - JJ Redick after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.


“The way that they’re guarding us, when I catch the ball, they kind of go zone, and when I try to attack a gap, it’s like three people. I've just got to make my decisions a little quicker, and we’ll be alright.” - Anthony Edwards after their loss against the LA Lakers in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Lakers
PG Luka Doncic
SG Austin Reaves
SF Rui Hachimura
PF LeBron James
C Jaxson Hayes

Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. Dončić (28.2)
APG: L. James (8.2)
Reb/G: L. Dončić (8.2)

Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)
APG: J. Randle (4.7)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

Coaches:
Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (1st season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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