Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/16/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 12, 2023
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Sunday, April 16, 2023
Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN 
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Grizzlies -3.5; Over/Under:  229 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Grizzlies -3.5; Over/Under:  229 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lakers +3.5, Grizzlies -3.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Season Record

Los Angeles Lakers:  43-39 (5th place, Pacific Division)
Memphis Grizzlies:  51-31 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Lakers:  8-2 last 10
Memphis Grizzlies:  6-4 last 10


Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies Preview and Analysis


The Lakers finished the regular season with a 43-39 record overall and they were 20-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Utah Jazz, and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. LeBron James led the team in points in that game with 30 while Anthony Davis was next on the team with 24 points. D'Angelo Russell led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Anthony Davis led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 41.3% from the field, 32.3% from 3-point range, and 91.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 40-42-1 this season and their O/U record is 44-39.



The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 51-31 record overall and they were 35-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Kenneth Lofton, Jr. led the team in points in that game with 42 while Ziaire Williams was next on the team with 24 points. Ziaire Williams led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Kenneth Lofton, Jr. led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 43.5% from the field, 18.9% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 37-43-2 this season and their O/U record is 37-43-2.


Lakers vs Grizzlies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Grizzlies listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7-game series between the 2nd seeded Grizzlies and the 7th seeded Lakers for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Grizzlies finished the regular season with a 51-31 record overall and they were really good in their home games all year with their 35-6 home record. They have been resting their players over the last week and will be ready to go with most of their starters healthy for this game. The Lakers are also healthy for this game but they were not nearly as good this season with their 43-39 record overall. They also had a losing 20-21 road record this year and had to earn this spot in the play-in tournament with a win over the Timberwolves. They were at home against the Timberwolves in that game but still needed OT to beat them when the Timberwolves have been dealing with off the court issues in their locker room too. The Lakers will benefit from the rest they are getting here but the Grizzlies have been strong at home all year and they are going to be even more rested with their team healthy too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Grizzlies to cover the spread in this game.

Lakers Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 16, 2023 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Grizzlies 124 Lakers 117.
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NBA Betting Trends


Los Angeles Lakers: 8-22 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 15-25 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 6-1 UNDER when playing with 3 or more days rest. 8-4 UNDER after a game where they were called for 10+ less fouls than the opponent.
Memphis Grizzlies: 13-2 ATS after scoring 105 points or less. 24-10 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. 16-8 UNDER off a road loss. 27-19 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Lakers:  None.
Memphis Grizzlies:  J. LaRavia (SF) Ques Sun - Calf. S. Aldama (PF) Ques Sun - Elbow. D. Bane (SG) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Brooks (SG) Ques Sun - Groin. J. Jackson Jr. (PF) Ques Sun - Elbow. T. Jones (PG) Ques Sun - Foot. J. Morant (PG) Ques Sun - Hand. S. Adams (C) out for season - Knee. B. Clarke (PF) out for season - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


"Once you get to the end of things, to have everyone healthy, to be playing in the type of rhythm we're playing in, to defend at the level that we're defending at, going into the most important time of the year, you can't ask for a better situation." - Darvin Ham after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in their game on Tuesday in the play-in tournament.


“It’s pretty confirmed he’s most likely out for the playoffs. We don’t have definitive words on what the next steps are.” - Taylor Jenkins on the injury status of Steven Adams for the playoffs.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Lakers
PG D'Angelo Russell
SG Austin Reaves
SF LeBron James
PF Jarred Vanderbilt
C Anthony Davis

Memphis Grizzlies
PG Ja Morant
SG Desmond Bane
SF Dillon Brooks
PF Jaren Jackson Jr.
C Xavier Tillman

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. James (28.9)
APG: L. James (6.8)
Reb/G: A. Davis (12.5)

Memphis Grizzlies
PPG: J. Morant (26.2)
APG: J. Morant (8.1)
Reb/G: S. Adams (11.5)

Coaches:
Los Angeles Lakers: Darvin Ham (1st season)
Memphis Grizzlies: Taylor Jenkins (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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