Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/10/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, May 09, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lakers +6.5, Warriors -6.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lakers +6.5, Warriors -6.5; Over/Under:  226 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lakers +6.5, Warriors -6.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Season Record

Los Angeles Lakers:  43-39 (5th place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Lakers:  7-3 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10


Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Lakers finished the regular season with a 43-39 record overall and they were 20-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with both wins coming against the Golden State Warriors in their last 2 games. In game 4 of this series, LeBron James led the team in points in that game with 27 while Anthony Davis was next on the team with 23 points. LeBron James led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Anthony Davis led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 46.7% from the field, 24% from 3-point range, and 86.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 47-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-45.



The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with both losses coming against the LA Lakers in their last 2 games. In game 4 of this series, Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 31 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 17 points. Stephen Curry led the team in assists in that game with 14 while Stephen Curry and Draymond Green each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 46.5% from the field, 29.3% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 43-49-1 this season and their O/U record is 49-41-3.


Lakers vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the 6th seeded Warriors and the 7th seeded Lakers for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Lakers are entering this game with a 3-1 series lead after sweeping their 2 home games in this series. The Lakers are now in a great position to win this series as they have the home advantage and a 2 game lead so they don't even have to try their hardest in this road game as they know the Warriors are going to push back hard on their home court so the Lakers will use this game as a way to rest their players a bit by not playing them too much and they will still have the lead going back to LA for the next game with a chance to end the series. The Warriors are on the brink of elimination now and they have no choice but to throw everything they have at the Lakers here to keep their hopes alive. Expect the Warriors to have a big push back in this game as they look to cut the series lead to 3-2 while the Lakers look more toward game 6 at home to end this series with a big performance. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game and make the series 3-2 for the Lakers.

Lakers Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, May 10, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 129 Lakers 117.
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NBA Betting Trends


Los Angeles Lakers: 8-20 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins. 15-30 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 28-17 OVER in road games. 11-6 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 

Golden State Warriors: 25-16 ATS as a home favorite. 25-16 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 14-5 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 7-0 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Lakers:  M. Bamba (C) Ques Wed - Ankle.

Golden State Warriors:  P. Baldwin Jr. (SF) Ques Wed - Toe. A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.


Notable Quotes


“The kid is a beautiful kid. He fell out of the rotation through no fault of his own, but he remained professional. He remained high-spirited, positive, and really kept working on his game every day, especially in these playoffs. When your mind is in the right place, your body follows.” - Darvin Ham on Lonnie Walker after his team’s win against the Warriors in their game on Monday, game 4 of this series.


“It feels like what it is: (a) 3-1 (deficit). You go home, take care of business, get a win, and the momentum is right back in your favor. “That’s all it is. … The Lakers did a great job of holding serve here, so now we’ve got to go back and get a win at home and flip the momentum.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Lakers in their game on Monday, game 4 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Lakers
PG D'Angelo Russell
SG Austin Reaves
SF LeBron James
PF Jarred Vanderbilt
C Anthony Davis

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. James (28.9)
APG: L. James (6.8)
Reb/G: A. Davis (12.5)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Coaches:
Los Angeles Lakers: Darvin Ham (1st season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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