Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/02/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, May 01, 2023
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, May 2, 2023
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  TNT


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Lakers +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  228 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Lakers +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  228 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Lakers +4.5, Warriors -4.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Season Record

Los Angeles Lakers:  43-39 (5th place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors:  44-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Lakers:  7-3 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10


Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Lakers finished the regular season with a 43-39 record overall and they were 20-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. D'Angelo Russell led the team in points in that game with 31 while LeBron James was next on the team with 22 points. Austin Reaves led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Anthony Davis led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 53.8% from the field, 34.1% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 44-44-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-43.



The Warriors finished the regular season with a 44-38 record overall and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Stephen Curry led the team in points in that game with 50 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 17 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 21. They were 43% from the field, 32.6% from 3-point range, and 63.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 42-46-1 this season and their O/U record is 47-39-3.


Lakers vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7-game series between the 6th seeded Warriors and the 7th seeded Lakers for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Lakers are entering this game with some rest on their side as they were able to end their 1st round series against the Memphis Grizzlies in 6 games while the Warriors had to go 7 games just to win their series against the Sacramento Kings. The Warriors prevailed in game 7 as the defending champions should and they won in a blowout game on the road where they have been bad all year. Now they have the momentum on their side going back home for this game 1 in a series where they have the home advantage now. There is also some extra motivation for this team with this series being against LeBron so the Warriors will come out with something to prove here despite being the defending champions still. The Warriors were also a really good home team all year while the Lakers struggled more in their road games and with an older team like the Lakers, the extended rest may not be the best thing for them as it would be better if they stayed warmed up. The Warriors will come out strong here in game 1 and make a statement against the Lakers. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game.

Lakers Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 2, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 127 Lakers 119.
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NBA Betting Trends


Los Angeles Lakers: 4-11 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 19-36 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 26-17 OVER in road games. 26-16 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220.

Golden State Warriors: 15-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 12-4 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent. 15-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 12-3 OVER when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Lakers:  None.

Golden State Warriors:  P. Baldwin Jr. (SF) Ques Tues - Toe. A. Iguodala (SG) Mid May - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot.


Notable Quotes


“It was definitely a Game 7 mentality for us. We understood that we had an opportunity to play in front of our fans, and we wanted to try to end it tonight. We came out with a discipline. From the start of the game, we were just locked in on our game plan all the way until the final seconds.” - LeBron James after their win against the Grizzlies in their game on Friday, game 6 of that series.


“It's amazing ‘cuz you’re still in the fight. Better than the alternative of on the outside looking in. Having been down 0-2 in this series, nothing was guaranteed, you don't take anything for granted.” - Steph Curry after their win against the Kings in their game on Sunday which ended the series 4-3, game 7 of that series.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Lakers
PG D'Angelo Russell
SG Austin Reaves
SF LeBron James
PF Jarred Vanderbilt
C Anthony Davis

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Klay Thompson
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Draymond Green
C Kevon Looney

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: L. James (28.9)
APG: L. James (6.8)
Reb/G: A. Davis (12.5)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (29.4)
APG: D. Green (6.8)
Reb/G: K. Looney (9.3)

Coaches:
Los Angeles Lakers: Darvin Ham (1st season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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