by Rod Pearson
Friday, Feb 27, 2026
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, February 28, 2026
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Lakers -3.5, Warriors +3.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Lakers -3.5, Warriors +3.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Lakers -3.5, Warriors +3.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Lakers: 34-24 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors: 31-28 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Lakers: 5-5 last 10
Golden State Warriors: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis
The Lakers are entering this game with a 34-24 record overall this season and they are 18-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Boston Celtics, the Orlando Magic, and the Phoenix Suns. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 41 while LeBron James was next on the team with 15 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Luka Dončić and Jaxson Hayes each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50.7% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 88.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.9 PPG against them. The Lakers have an ATS record of 30-28 this season and their O/U record is 31-27.
The Warriors are entering this game with a 31-28 record overall this season and they are 19-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Memphis Grizzlies. Will Richard led the team in points in that game with 21 while Brandin Podziemski and Gary Payton II each were next on the team with 19 points. Pat Spencer led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, and Quinten Post each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 53.3% from the field, 41.3% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.8 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 27-32 this season and their O/U record is 35-24.
Lakers vs Warriors Prediction
The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 31-28 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They have looked a lot better on their home court this season with their 19-11 home record. Meanwhile, the Lakers have looked good in their games this season with their 34-24 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 18-12 road record this year. The Lakers have been a better road team this season than they have been a home team, but lately they haven't looked that great at all. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have lost 3 games in a row now, coming out of the All-Star Break with no momentum. They haven't been losing to bad teams lately, but now they are off a loss to the Suns in their last one and the Suns were missing their 2 best players in that game. The Warriors haven't looked any better lately either as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games, but they are off a win over the Grizzlies in their last one and have looked a little better coming out of the All-Star Break. They have been missing some key players in the lineup too, but they did get a bit healthier in that last one and they have been a force at home all year, whether shorthanded or not. The Warriors have been the better team coming out of the All-Star Break so look for them to defend their home court against a struggling Lakers team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game.
Lakers Warriors Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, February 28, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Warriors 117 Lakers 114.
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NBA Betting Trends
Los Angeles Lakers: 61-38 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 6-3 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. 6-3 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 14-3 OVER off an upset loss as a road favorite.
Golden State Warriors: 15-34 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 4-7 ATS off a road win. 17-24 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 6-2 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Lakers: R. Hachimura (PF) Day To Day - Illness.
Golden State Warriors: D. Green (C) Day To Day - Illness Management. D. Melton (SG) Day To Day - Knee. L. Cryer (PG) Out - Hamstring. K. Porzingis (C) Out - Achilles. S. Curry (PG) Out - Knee. S. Curry (SG) Out - Back. J. Butler III (SF) Out For Season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We talk about this as a staff like our losses are louder than other teams. Because we're the Lakers, and because of the way we lose. I make mistakes.” - J.J. Redick after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Thursday.
“He’s already beaten up from last night, and his back acted up today, so we’ll keep him out and get him ready for the next (game). Just manage it day by day, week by week, and see how he’s feeling.” - Steve Kerr on the injury to Draymond Green.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Lakers
PG Luka Doncic
SG Austin Reaves
SF Marcus Smart
PF LeBron James
C Deandre Ayton
Golden State Warriors
PG Brandin Podziemski
SG De'Anthony Melton
SF Moses Moody
PF Gui Santos
C Draymond Green
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Lakers
PPG: Luka Doncic (32.7)
APG: Luka Doncic (8.6)
Reb/G: Deandre Ayton (8.4)
Golden State Warriors
PPG: Stephen Curry (27.2)
APG: Draymond Green (5.1)
Reb/G: Draymond Green (5.7)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Lakers: JJ Redick (2nd season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
