by Rod Pearson
Monday, Apr 24, 2023
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 25, 2023
Venue: Rogers Place, Rogers Place
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Kings +195, Oilers -230; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Kings +195, Oilers -225; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Kings +200, Oilers -250; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Season Record
Los Angeles Kings: 47-25-10 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Edmonton Oilers: 50-23-9 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Kings: 5-4-1 last 10
Edmonton Oilers: 8-0-2 last 10
Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers Preview and Analysis
The Kings are entering this game finishing the regular season with 104 points, a 47-25-10 record overall, and they were 21-14-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, losing that one at home 5-4 in overtime. Viktor Arvidsson, Anže Kopitar, Matt Roy, and Gabriel Vilardi each scored 1 goal in that game. Phillip Danault and Kevin Fiala each led the team in assists with 2 while Phillip Danault led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Joonas Korpisalo was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 42 shots with 37 saves and a .881 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 280 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 257 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.
The Oilers are entering this game finishing the regular season with 109 points, a 50-23-9 record overall, and they were 23-12-6 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the LA Kings in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-4 in OT. Leon Draisaitl scored 2 goals for them in that one while Evan Bouchard, Zach Hyman, and Evander Kane each scored 1 goal in that game. Connor McDavid led the team in assists with 3 while Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman, Evander Kane, and Warren Foegele each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 11 shots with 8 saves and a .727 sv percentage before getting replaced by Jack Campbell who allowed 1 goal on 28 shots with 27 saves and a .964 save percentage. Their offense has scored 325 goals this season averaging 4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 260 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.
Kings vs Oilers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Kings listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the Kings and the Oilers for the 1st round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 2-2 after the Oilers took back game 4 on the road with an OT win, a game in which they were trailing 3-0 in the 1st period and had to fight until the very last minute to tie the game up. The Oilers have been starting to get hot with their offense in these games but it hasn't helped them win many games as they still have big defensive issues and have been giving up a ton of goals too. Game 4 was the 3rd game of this series that has gone to overtime as all of these games have been really close. The Kings are still trying to get their revenge for being kicked out of the playoffs in the 1st round by the Oilers last year and so far, they have given the Oilers a lot to handle. The Kings have shown in every game that they can go toe-to-toe with the Oilers in this series and as long as the Oilers defense is giving up a ton of goals like they have been, then the Kings have a shot to win this series with some better defensive play. Every game has been close in this series and it is tough to see the Oilers blowing the Kings out in this game if they even win it at all. The best way to place a bet here is on the Kings to win this game and on the puckline as it will be a closer game.
Kings Oilers Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, April 25, 2023 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Kings 4 Oilers 3.
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NHL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Kings: 21-12 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline after allowing 4 goals or more. 11-3 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored. 24-15 OVER in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 23-14 OVER after playing a home game.
Edmonton Oilers: 24-19 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 30-26 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline after one or more consecutive overs. 54-28 OVER in all games. 26-13 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Kings: B. Lizotte (C) Ques Tues - Lower Body.
Edmonton Oilers: M. Janmark (C) Ques Tues - Lower Body. R. Murray (D) Early May - Back.
Notable Quotes
“We gave up the lead in the second period but we lost it in overtime. The start for us was tremendous, it was something we haven’t had in the series. It has been a strange series, the team that gets in the lead kind of takes their foot off the gas.” - Todd McLellan after his team’s loss against the Oilers in their game on Sunday, game 4 of this series.
“I think all playoff games are big tests, but this one was massive for our group. I thought we responded well. It is not an easy team to come back against. We came back in waves in the second period and put ourselves back into it.” - Leon Draisaitl after their win against the Kings in their game on Sunday, game 4 of this series.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Kings
LW Byfield, Quinton
C Kopitar, Anze
RW Kempe, Adrian
LD Anderson, Michael
RD Doughty, Drew
G Korpisalo, Joonas
Edmonton Oilers
LW Nugent-Hopkins, Ryan
C McDavid, Connor
RW Hyman, Zach
LD Nurse, Darnell
RD Ceci, Cody
G Skinner, Stuart
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Kings
Points: A. Kopitar (74)
Goals: A. Kempe (41)
Assists: K. Fiala (49)
GAA: P. Copley (2.64)
Edmonton Oilers
Points: C. McDavid (153)
Goals: C. McDavid (64)
Assists: C. McDavid (89)
GAA: S. Skinner (2.75)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Kings: Todd McLellan (4th season)
Edmonton Oilers: Jay Woodcroft (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
