by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 21, 2023
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 22, 2023
Venue: Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch: BSSW
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Rangers +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Rangers +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -120, Rangers +100; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 55-40 (1st place, NL West)
Texas Rangers: 58-39 (1st place, AL West)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 8-2 last 10
Texas Rangers: 7-3 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-40 record overall and have a road record of 26-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .782 OPS. Tony Gonsolin is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-1 with a 4.25 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 3 hits through 4.2 IP against the New York Mets.
The Rangers are entering this series on a 6 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-39 record overall and have a home record of 33-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .804 OPS. Andrew Heaney is their starting pitcher on Friday while Dane Dunning is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-2 with a 2.82 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 7 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Dodgers vs Rangers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have been rolling in their games lately with one of the best offenses in the MLB and they now have the lead of the NL West too, but the Rangers have also been red hot coming into this series as they lead the AL West this season and also have one of the best offenses in the MLB. With 2 strong offenses and 2 really hot teams running into each other here, the pitching matchup is going to be very important in this game and that is where the Rangers have the edge here. The Rangers are going with Dunning in this game and he has been lights out in most of his starts all season. He hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately either and he has also been giving up even fewer runs this year in his home starts. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are going with their rookie Miller in this game and he hasn't been bad this season but he hasn't been lights out either and he will give the Rangers the scoring opportunities they need to win this game with that hot offense. The Rangers have also been a really good home team all season while the Dodgers have struggled more as a team in their road games so the value is with the Rangers at this price with this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.
Dodgers Rangers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 22, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Rangers 6 Dodgers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 18-17 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite of -110 or higher. 9-13 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. 17-6 OVER in an inter-league game. 14-6 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Texas Rangers: 58-39 (+10.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-10 (+13.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 28-19 OVER in home games. 16-10 OVER in an inter-league game.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: B. Miller (SP) Prob Sat - Knee. J. Marisnick (CF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kershaw (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Pepiot (SP) Late July - Oblique. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Texas Rangers: J. Gray (SP) Prob Tues - Shin. A. Garcia (RF) Ques Fri - Arm. J. Sborz (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“It just didn't seem like he was really comfortable out there. Just ran out of bullets. The stuff wasn't sharp. With that, it led to some soft contact early. Didn't have command. It was just one of those days.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Wednesday.
“I can’t say enough about what he did. That kid really showed great poise, really handled the situation so well.” - Bruce Bochy on Alex Speas after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Will Smith (R) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Austin Barnes (R) C
Texas Rangers
Marcus Semien (R) 2B
Corey Seager (L) SS
Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B
Adolis Garcia (R) RF
Josh Jung (R) 3B
Jonah Heim (S) C
Travis Jankowski (L) LF
Robbie Grossman (S) DH
Leody Taveras (S) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (121)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (27)
RBI: J.D. Martinez (66)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Texas Rangers
Batting Average: Corey Seager (.346)
Hits: Marcus Semien (111)
Home Runs: Adolis Garcia (24)
RBI: Adolis Garcia (80)
Stolen Bases: Travis Jankowski (14)
Wins: Nathan Eovaldi (11)
Saves: Will Smith (17)
ERA: Aroldis Chapman (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
