by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 11, 2025
Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Friday, July 11, 2025
Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch: MLBN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +108, Giants -132; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Giants -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Giants -130; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 56-38 (1st place, NL West)
San Francisco Giants: 51-43 (2nd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 4-6 last 10
San Francisco Giants: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-38 record overall and have a road record of 23-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Giants on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .780 OPS. Tyler Glasnow was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Dustin May is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-5 with a 4.52 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 9 SO on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Giants are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-43 record overall and have a home record of 27-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .682 OPS. Justin Verlander was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Logan Webb is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-6 with a 2.62 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walk with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6.2 innings pitched against the Athletics.
Dodgers vs Giants Prediction
The current betting odds have the Giants listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Giants have looked good in their games this season with their 51-43 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL West. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 27-18 home record. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 56-38 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also been a good road team with their 23-21 road record this season. The Dodgers haven't looked good lately though as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games while the Giants are 6-4 in their last 10, and this is a really important series for the Giants to try and catch the Dodgers. The Dodgers are going with May in this one, but he hasn't looked great this season. He is 5-5 with a 4.52 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs this year. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 2 games in a row with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the Dodgers have gone into a big slump since his last start. The Giants are going with Webb in this one and he has looked really good this season. He is 8-6 with a 2.62 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs all year. The team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and he hasn't had many starts this year where he gave up a lot of runs. The Giants are in a much better situation coming into this series and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Giants to win this game.
Dodgers Giants Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 11, 2025 (10:15 pm ET start time) is Giants 5 Dodgers 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 61-53 (+6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 84-50 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 186-117 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 31-19 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150.
San Francisco Giants: 211-207 (-20.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 118-97 (-24.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 114-92 (-6.1 units) on the moneyline in home games. 37-22 OVER vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: T. Hernandez (RF) Day To Day - Foot. M. Kopech (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Elbow. M. Muncy (3B) Ten Day IL - Knee. R. Sasaki (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Phillips (RP) Sixty Day IL - forearm. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Treinen (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. K. Hurt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. M. Grove (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Ryan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
San Francisco Giants: E. Miller (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. C. Koss (2B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Encarnacion (RF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. T. Murphy (C) Sixty Day IL - Back.
Notable Quotes
"Tyler pitched well. His pitch count got up there, so five is what he gave us. I thought that was a positive coming out of today. We had them where we wanted them. We just couldn’t finish it." - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Wednesday.
“I feel like I come in here saying the same thing. It feels like every time we don’t score runs for [Verlander]. At this point in time, he should certainly have a couple wins and he doesn’t. Unfortunately, I think we all kind of feel it.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Will Smith (R) C
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Andy Pages (R) RF
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Miguel Rojas (R) 3B
Esteury Ruiz (R) LF
James Outman (L) CF
San Francisco Giants
Heliot Ramos (R) LF
Rafael Devers (L) DH
Willy Adames (R) SS
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Wilmer Flores (R) 1B
Casey Schmitt (R) 2B
Jung Hoo Lee (L) CF
Luis Matos (R) RF
Andrew Knizner (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Hyeseong Kim (.333)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (100)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (31)
RBI: Andy Pages (58)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (12)
Wins: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (8)
Saves: Tanner Scott (18)
ERA: Evan Phillips (0.00)
San Francisco Giants
Batting Average: Casey Schmitt (.271)
Hits: Heliot Ramos (95)
Home Runs: Heliot Ramos (14)
RBI: Wilmer Flores (55)
Stolen Bases: Tyler Fitzgerald (9)
Wins: Robbie Ray (9)
Saves: Camilo Doval (14)
ERA: Randy Rodríguez (0.69)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (10th season)
San Francisco Giants: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
