Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/17/2022

Game Time: 9:05 pm ET, Saturday, September 17th, 2022

Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California

Where to Watch: MLB.tv, 

DraftKings: Moneyline:  Dodgers -323, Giants +270; O/U 7.5; ATS 1.5

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  

PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

 

Dodgers: 98-44, 1st place NL West

Giants: 69-74, 3rd place NL West

Game 2 of this matchup will play Saturday night and that is what this prediction focuses on.  The Dodgers have owned the Giants this season… but the largest margin of ownership has come in Game 2’s of these series.  Basically the Dodgers are deep in starting pitchers… in fact #1 in the league… while the Giants tend to spend their best guy in either the first or last game of any of these series. The Great Betting opportunity here is on the Dodgers while spotting points.

A National League West matchup that was all the rage last season.  ReMember? Do ya?... Last season the National League West was on fire with the Giants and the Dodgers both going for 100+ wins… They finished 1 game apart with the Giants winning just one more game of the team’s head to head matchups.  It was a race for the AGES!  It was a battle of real rivals… cut razor thin by hope, expectations, and angst.  The result was that the Dodgers won just one more game against the Giants in the postseason…  the Dodgers made the World Series and the Giants went home.  This season the rivalry from last season is just an afterthought… The Dodgers will be at 100+ wins very very soon… and if the Giants play their cards right?  They may finish with a .500 record… but only if they play well.  The Giants will certainly be stuck in 3rd place and not even considered for postseason play. The Dodgers have already clinched a postseason spot.   However… even if the results of this one don’t matter to the standings… They do represent a Great Betting Opportunity.  Let’s check the pitching matchup and the Betting Trends and swell that bankroll.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are racing toward 100 wins.  We skipped the prediction in their last game against Arizona because they paid very big on the game before.  No reason to give it back… and the Dodgers in fact lost the last game against Arizona. They have won 7 of their last ten games.  They went 2-1 against the Arizona Diamondbacks, 2-1 against the San Diego Padres, 2-1 against the San Francisco Giants, and 1-0 against the San Diego Padres.  It is beginning to feel like Groundhog’s Day (the Bill Murray one)... Someone keeps setting up either the Padres or the Giants and the Dodgers keep on mowing them down.

The San Francisco Giants have won 4 of their last 10 games.  They have had rough times on the road and at home.  It doesn’t seem to matter where they play this season.  It tends to be rough times.  They went 2-1 against the Atlanta Braves, 1-2 against the Chicago Cubs, 0-2 against the Milwaukee Brewers, and 0-2 against the Los Angeles Dodgers during that stretch.  The numbers are average to slightly below average in most categories and it has been rough sledding to get any momentum.  The Giants injury list is loaded and full of names that shined during the 100+ win last season.  Also they lost Humphries and Chris Bassett among others to free agency this last offseason.  

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LAD 97-43, 1396 ML, 61-66-13 O/U, 48-25 in road games.

SFG 69-74, -2329 ML, 67-68-8 O/U, 39-33 in home games.

  

The Dodgers are 1st in scoring with 5.45 runs per game, 3rd in batting average with .263, and 1st in OBP with .338

The Giants are 14th in runs scored with 4.38 per game, 23rd in batting average with .232, and 15th in OBP with .315

The Dodgers pitchers are 1st in ERA with 2.89, 1st in WHIP with 1.07 (that is a team average!), and the fielders are 8th in errors with 54 on the season so far.

The Giants pitchers are 13th in ERA with 3.86, 16th in WHIP with 1.28, and the fielders are 25th in errors with 89 on the season so far.

 

Our prediction for Saturday, September 17th is… Dodgers 8 - Giants 2

The bet is for the Dodgers and the instructions are to spot points… I would never recommend more than spotting 2.5 points…. In this game I will spot 3.5.  You should spot 2.5.  Let’s see how it turns out… and since the Range Rover is secure… Maybe we start working on a hot tub?

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The Dodgers are 12-4 against San Fran (+4.7 UNITS) this season.

3 of 5 games in this series at San Fran have gone UNDER this season.

The Dodgers are 42-14 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.

Dodgers: C Austin Barnes (personal) Out ** 3B E. Rios (hammy) Out ** CF K Pillar (shoulder) Out ** 

Giants: CF Luis Gonzalez Quest ** 2B T La Stella Out ** LF A Slater Out ** 1B B Belt Out **

Dodgers: RHP Julio Urias, 16-7, 2.30 ERA, 144 strikeouts in 152 innings pitched, 0.95 WHIP.  Julio is an absolute rising sun.  The teenage phenom is now a man and working with very strong stuff.  He has also seen the Dodgers try to insert Dustin May into the starting lineup while Ace Tony Gonsolin is on the IR… Julio will take that second spot.  He is not angry, he is not worried, he is “ready”.

Giants: TBD - This “TBD is not encouraging considering all the Dodgers onslaughts that have landed in this series Game 2’s.

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, C Will Smith, 3B Max Muncy, DH Justin Turner, 2B Gavin Lux, LF Joey Gallo, CF Cody Bellinger

Giants: RF LaMonte Wade Jr, CF Mike Yastremski, 2B Wilmer Flores, LF Joc Pederson, 3B David Villar, SS Brandon Crawford, 1B JD Davis, DH Willie Calhoun, C Austin Wynns

Dodgers: Dave “Is this heaven?” Roberts

Giants: Gabe “laser trimmed beard” Kapler

Partly Cloudy, 69* Humidity 74% (that's a lot of humidity), Wind 17 mph, Precipitation chance 10%.  It’s San Francisco… chilly, sweaters, possibly an umbrella.  Ho hum.