Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/06/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Aug 05, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Sunday, August 6, 2023
Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -120, Padres +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -120, Padres +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Dodgers -120, Padres +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Los Angeles Dodgers:  63-45 (1st place, NL West)
San Diego Padres:  54-56 (4th place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers:  6-4 last 10
San Diego Padres:  6-4 last 10



Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis


The Dodgers are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 63-45 record overall and have a road record of 29-25. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Padres on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .795 OPS. Michael Grove is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Lance Lynn is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-9 with a 6.32 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 3 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Oakland Athletics.

The Padres are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-56 record overall and have a home record of 29-26. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the LA Dodgers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Blake Snell is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Rich Hill is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-10 with a 4.76 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.


Dodgers vs Padres Prediction

The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't been great this season with their losing record but they are right under the .500 mark and still have a chance to get back in the playoff race, especially when they have been playing a lot better lately. The Dodgers have also been rolling lately with the division lead again and one of the best offenses in the MLB but their pitching hasn't been great and the Padres definitely have the better pitching matchup here that they can take advantage of. The Padres have Hill starting in this game and even though he hasn't been lights out this season, he still hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are going with Lynn in this game and he hasn't been great this season, giving up a ton of runs in his starts all year. He has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts lately and the Padres offense has been getting better over the last few weeks, they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here and will put up some runs on Lynn and the Dodgers pitching staff. Hill has been a much more reliable starter this season and the Padres also have the better bullpen to lean on late in this game too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.

Dodgers Padres Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 6, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Padres 8 Dodgers 6.
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MLB Betting Trends


Los Angeles Dodgers: 123-64 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 32-19 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 35-17 OVER in road games. 16-6 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.

San Diego Padres: 54-56 (-22.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 27-26 (-13 units) on the moneyline in home games. RICH HILL is 9-0 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 and 5-1 OVER in the second half of the season.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Dodgers:  M. Muncy (3B) Ques Sat - Wrist. T. Cyr (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Early Sept - Knee. J. Deluca (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

San Diego Padres:  J. Musgrove (SP) Out Indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Hill (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Carlton (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. M. Wacha (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. A. Jacob (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. R. Knehr (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Morejon (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.


Notable Quotes


“I think it's a byproduct of experience. When you're tired and experienced, you can kind of not panic, and you can see that in the later innings, where those guys have got to throw the baseball over the plate and if they don't, we'll take our 90 feet.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Padres in their game on Friday.


“It ended up being a nice day offensively for us. We won three in a row against Texas, we have a really tough night here the first game and then respond with two big games. Hopefully it’s a trend for us.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
David Peralta (L) DH
Jason Heyward (L) RF
Chris Taylor (R) 3B
James Outman (L) CF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Enrique Hernandez (R) LF

San Diego Padres
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 2B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Ji Man Choi (L) DH
Luis Campusano (R) C
Trent Grisham (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits:  Freddie Freeman (146)
Home Runs:  Mookie Betts (29)
RBI:  J.D. Martinez (76)
Stolen Bases:  Freddie Freeman (14)
Wins:  Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves:  Evan Phillips (14)
ERA:  Tyler Cyr (0.00)

San Diego Padres
Batting Average:  Ha-Seong Kim (.287)
Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (106)
Home Runs:  Juan Soto (24)
RBI:  Juan Soto (71)
Stolen Bases:  Ha-Seong Kim (24)
Wins:  Joe Musgrove (10)
Saves:  Josh Hader (26)
ERA:  Alek Jacob (0.00)

Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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