by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Aug 03, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, August 4, 2023
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: SDPA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -102, Padres -118; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +110, Padres -130; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -105, Padres -115; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 61-45 (1st place, NL West)
San Diego Padres: 54-55 (4th place, NL West)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Jack Banks is having a GREAT MLB SEASON going 91-60 for +$21,130! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
San Diego Padres: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers entered their last series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1. They enter this game with a 61-45 record overall and have a road record of 28-25. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Padres on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Oakland Athletics still to be played on Thursday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .791 OPS. Julio Urías is their starting pitcher on Thursday while rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-2 with a 4.37 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Padres are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-55 record overall and have a home record of 29-25. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the LA Dodgers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Nick Martinez was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Yu Darvish is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-7 with a 4.53 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Texas Rangers.
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Padres listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Padres haven't been good this season as they are still under .500 on the year but they have been playing better lately and their pitching has been a lot better. The Dodgers have also been rolling in their games lately as they lead the NL West now but the Padres have also been getting hot lately and they are going to put up a fight against the Dodgers at home. The Padres have Darvish starting in this game and even though he hasn't been great this season, he has been pitching a lot better in the month of July and he will continue to pitch well here coming off another good start in his last. The Dodgers are going with Miller in this game and he hasn't been bad this year but he is still in his rookie season and has been consistently giving up runs in his starts lately. The Padres will be able to put up runs at home here with the way Miller has been pitching lately while Darvish shuts down the Dodgers lineup pitching a lot better in his starts lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Padres to win this game.
Dodgers Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 4, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Padres 4 Dodgers 0.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 122-64 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 47-28 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 34-17 OVER in road games. BOBBY MILLER is 8-3 OVER in all games.
San Diego Padres: 54-55 (-21.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 27-25 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 9-5 OVER when playing with a day off. YU DARVISH is 9-3 OVER after giving up no earned runs last outing.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: J. Martinez (DH) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. J. Urias (SP) Prob Thurs - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Early Sept - Knee. J. Deluca (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
San Diego Padres: J. Musgrove (SP) Ques Tues - Shoulder. T. Hill (RP) Out indefinitely - Finger. D. Carlton (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. M. Wacha (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. E. Rosario (3B) Early Sept - Ankle. A. Jacob (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. R. Knehr (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Morejon (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm.
Notable Quotes
“He's definitely in the MVP conversation and Mookie is not that far behind him.” - Dave Roberts on Freddie Freeman after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Wednesday.
“It ended up being a nice day offensively for us. We won three in a row against Texas, we have a really tough night here the first game and then respond with two big games. Hopefully it’s a trend for us.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Amed Rosario (R) 2B
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Chris Taylor (R) DH
James Outman (L) CF
Enrique Hernandez (R) LF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
San Diego Padres
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 2B
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Matthew Batten (R) 1B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (143)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (29)
RBI: J.D. Martinez (75)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (14)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (13)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Ha-Seong Kim (.284)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (104)
Home Runs: Juan Soto (23)
RBI: Juan Soto (70)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (22)
Wins: Joe Musgrove (10)
Saves: Josh Hader (26)
ERA: Scott Barlow (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
