by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Jun 05, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Thursday, June 6, 2024
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -185, Pirates +154; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -185, Pirates +155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -190, Pirates +155; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 38-24 (1st place, NL West)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 28-32 (4th place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-24 record overall and have a road record of 17-12. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Dodgers lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .762 OPS. James Paxton is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Walker Buehler is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-3 with a 4.32 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.
The Pirates are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 28-32 record overall and have a home record of 13-15. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the LA Dodgers on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Pirates won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .656 OPS. Rookie pitcher Paul Skenes is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bailey Falter is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-2 with a 3.22 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction
The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pirates haven't looked great in their games this season with their 28-32 record overall and their 13-15 home record which has them in 4th place of the NL Central. They got off to a really hot start this season but quickly fell off and have now regressed. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 38-24 record overall which has them leading the ML West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have looked good in their road games too with their 17-12 road record, but they already lost the 1st game of this series and they didn't look good in that game with their offense getting shut out. The Pirates have looked a lot better with their pitching lately and they don't have a bad starter on the mound here either. They have Falter starting in this game and he is 3-2 with a 3.22 ERA this season, coming off a good start in his last one which he allowed no runs in. The Dodgers are going with Buehler in this game and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 1-3 with a 4.32 ERA and coming off a start which he allowed 3 earned runs in. He hasn't been bad, but he has still been giving up runs in his starts lately and the Dodgers offense hasn't been at their best lately. This is a pitching matchup that the Pirates can take advantage of at home with the Dodgers offense starting to struggle now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game and on the runline to keep it close.
Dodgers Pirates Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 6, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Pirates 3 Dodgers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 250-143 (+5.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 118-76 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 235-121 (+9.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 13-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. 19-10 UNDER in road games. 12-6 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 to -175.
Pittsburgh Pirates: 86-104 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 72-104 (-13 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 105-146 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. BAILEY FALTER is 23-17 UNDER in all games, 14-8 UNDER when the total is 7 to 8.5, and 3-1 UNDER in night games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Brasier (RP) Late May - Calf. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Hurt (SP) Early June - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Late May - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. May (SP) Late July - Elbow.
Pittsburgh Pirates: M. Taylor (CF) Out Fri - Personal. J. Bae (SS) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. A. Williams (SS) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Bart (C) Out indefinitely - Thumb. M. Perez (SP) Mid June - Groin. B. Chandler (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Borucki (RP) Out indefinitely - Arm. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. Moreta (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Oviedo (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Rodriguez (C) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“Then, I (stunk) every time. So, definitely a stark difference for sure.” - Tyler Glasnow after their loss against the Pirates in their game on Tuesday.
“I mean, my summers growing up as a kid consisted of going to Dodger Stadium. Going out there, facing them for the first time, throwing up six zeros and giving us a chance to win, that means everything.” - Rookie pitcher Jared Jones after their win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
Gavin Lux (L) 2B
Miguel Rojas (R) 3B
Chris Taylor (R) CF
Pittsburgh Pirates
Andrew McCutchen (R) DH
Bryan Reynolds (S) LF
Connor Joe (R) RF
Oneil Cruz (L) SS
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B
Nick Gonzales (R) 2B
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Henry Davis (R) C
Jack Suwinski (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.321)
Hits: Mookie Betts (76)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (14)
RBI: Teoscar Hernández (38)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (14)
Wins: Tyler Glasnow (6)
Saves: Evan Phillips (9)
ERA: Blake Treinen (0.00)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average: Nick Gonzales (.296)
Hits: Bryan Reynolds (62)
Home Runs: Andrew McCutchen (8)
RBI: Bryan Reynolds (32)
Stolen Bases: Jack Suwinski (5)
Wins: Mitch Keller (7)
Saves: David Bednar (12)
ERA: Colin Holderman (0.93)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
