by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jun 03, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 4, 2024
Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -185, Pirates +154; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -185, Pirates +154; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -190, Pirates +155; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 38-23 (1st place, NL West)
Pittsburgh Pirates: 27-32 (4th place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-23 record overall and have a road record of 17-11. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .766 OPS. Gavin Stone was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Tyler Glasnow is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-3 with a 3.04 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 2 hits through 7 IP against the New York Mets.
The Pirates are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 27-32 record overall and have a home record of 12-15. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the LA Dodgers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .658 OPS. Quinn Priester was their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Jared Jones is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.
Dodgers vs Pirates Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 38-23 record overall which has them at the top of the NL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have been a good road team with their 17-11 road record and they have some momentum on their side too, coming off a series win over the weekend. The Pirates haven't looked great in their games this season with their 27-32 record overall. They are only 12-15 in their home games too and they got off to a really hot start to the season, but they have cooled off now and have regressed to the below average team they really are. They have Jones starting in this game and he hasn't been bad this season, but he is coming off a terrible start which he allowed 5 earned runs in and now he has to go up against an even better lineup here. It doesn't help that the Dodgers have Glasnow starting in this game and he has been a stud for them this season. He is 6-3 with a 3.04 ERA this year and coming off another start which he didn't give up many runs in. The Dodgers also have one of the best offenses in the MLB right now so the Pirates are going to struggle with this pitching matchup since they haven't looked great in their games lately either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Dodgers Pirates Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 4, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 8 Pirates 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 103-54 (+21.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 118-75 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 175-95 (+13.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 14-7 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 or more. 12-6 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5. 13-2 UNDER after a win by 4 runs or more.
Pittsburgh Pirates: 85-104 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline in home games. 104-146 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 26-45 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline after 5 or more consecutive road games. 6-2 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive overs. 7-4 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive road games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Brogdon (RP) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Muncy (3B) Out indefinitely - Oblique. E. Sheehan (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Brasier (RP) Late May - Calf. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Phillips (RP) Late May - Hamstring. K. Hurt (SP) Early June - Shoulder. B. Graterol (RP) Late May - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Kershaw (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. D. May (SP) Late July - Elbow.
Pittsburgh Pirates: A. Williams (SS) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Bart (C) Out indefinitely - Thumb. M. Perez (SP) Mid June - Groin. B. Chandler (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. R. Borucki (RP) Out indefinitely - Arm. J. Delay (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. Moreta (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Oviedo (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Rodriguez (C) out for season - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“It's been under the radar, but not lost on us his value. Consistency and certainty is what you are getting from him now. To his credit, he is watching what his teammates are doing and then applying things fit for his arsenal." - Dave Roberts after his team’s win against the Rockies in their game on Sunday.
“That ended up being the game. We left eight guys on in the first (four) innings. We had the ability to capitalize.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Teoscar Hernández (R) RF
Andy Pages (R) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) 2B
Enrique Hernández (R) 3B
Miguel Vargas (R) LF
Austin Barnes (R) C
Pittsburgh Pirates
Andrew McCutchen (R) DH
Bryan Reynolds (S) LF
Connor Joe (R) RF
Oneil Cruz (L) SS
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B
Nick Gonzales (R) 2B
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Ji Hwan Bae (L) CF
Grant Koch (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Shohei Ohtani (.322)
Hits: Mookie Betts (76)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (14)
RBI: Teoscar Hernández (38)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (14)
Wins: Tyler Glasnow (6)
Saves: Evan Phillips (9)
ERA: Blake Treinen (0.00)
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average: Nick Gonzales (.308)
Hits: Bryan Reynolds (60)
Home Runs: Andrew McCutchen (8)
RBI: Bryan Reynolds (32)
Stolen Bases: Jack Suwinski (5)
Wins: Seth Lugo (9)
Saves: James McArthur (11)
ERA: Jordan Lyles (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (9th season)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
