Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Odds, Preview and Picks - 05/11/2022

by James Q

Tuesday, May 10, 2022

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Odds, Preview and Picks - 05/11/2022


Game Time:  12:35 PM ET, Wednesday, May 11th,  2022 
Venue: PNC Park , Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline: 
 BetMGM: Moneyline:  
PointsBet: Moneyline:  
(will update as the numbers become available)

Season Record

Dodgers: 19-8, 1st place NL West
Pirates: 12-16, 3rd place NL Central

An MLB National League matchup between the West and the Central division.  The NL West is once again the cream of the MLB crop.  As we approach 30 games on the season?... Every NL West team has a winning record!  That’s right the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies have winning records at the very moment I write this sentence.  The Dodgers sit atop the NL West heap happy and high-fiving!... The San Diego Padres and the San Francisco Giants will push them all season long… but the skies are bright and sunny for every NL West team.  The NL Central is a gray sky, poorly lit, dingy swap meet.  The Milwaukee Brewers are winning… but the St Louis Cardinals are barely keeping their heads above water… the other three teams are already deep losers.  The Pittsburgh Pirates (our team in this matchup) are 12-16 on the season and fading fast.  The Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds may as well be playing in the minors they are so far behind.  The Pirates have a losing record on the road… and a losing record at home.  They field balls like a little league team with old moldy gloves and sun in their eyes.  It’s baseball so every now and then the Pirates will get a win.  If you wanted a safe cash flow for the remainder of the season you would bet against the Pirates, Cubs, and Reds… you won’t get a heavy return because of the moneyline… but you will be right almost all the time.  

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 7 of their last 10 games.  They lost the first game of this series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  They Swept the Chicago Cubs 3-0, the swept the San Francisco Giants 2-0, then went 2-1 against the Detroit Tigers, and lost 0-1 to the Arizona Diamondbacks during that stretch. They went 4 Over, 5 Under, and 1 Push during that stretch.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have won just 3 of their last ten games.  They took the first game off the Dodgers, went 1-2 against the Cincinnati Reds, they lost a lone game to the Detroit Tigers, went 1-2 against the San Diego Padres, and went 0-2 against the Milwaukee Braves.  They went 5 Over and 5 Under during that stretch.  

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview and Analysis

Offensive Analysis

The Dodgers are 1st in runs scored with 5.00 runs per game, 11th in batting average with .239, 6th in OBP with .322.

The Pirates are 21st in scoring with 3.82 runs per game, 9th in batting average with .241, and 19th in OBP with .305.

Defensive Analysis 

The Dodgers pitchers are 1st in TEAM ERA with 2.21, 1st in WHIP with .094, and the fielders have only committed 8 errors for 3rd in the MLB.  The Dodgers are the best defensive team in baseball.

The Pirates are 28th in ERA with 4.68, 26th in WHIP with 1.36, and are 29th (1 away from last) in fielding errors with a horrible 26 on the young season so far.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Our prediction for Wednesday May 11th is... Dodgers 9 - Pirates 2

The Dodgers are killing everybody at the moment.  The Dodgers lineup is too deep.  The starting rotation of pitchers is too good.  The Bullpen is too deep and good.  So the Pirates got the last game against Julio Urias?... They will not get another.

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MLB Betting Trends
The Dodgers are 6-1 (+3.9 units) against Pittsburgh the last 3 seasons.
5 of 7 games have gone UNDER in this series the last 3 seasons.
The Pirates are a miserable 6-31 when playing on a Wednesday the last 3 seasons.

Key Injuries

Dodgers: LF Chris Taylor (knee) Quest

Pirates: CF J. Marsinick (thumb) Quest ** C R. Perez (hamstring) Out ** SS K. Newman (groin) Out ** CF J. Allen (hamstring) Out

Players to Watch

The Pitching matchup is still TBD.  There are rumors over whom it may be, but both teams will worry about it when they know the result of the Tuesday Night game.

The Player to watch for the Dodgers is Mookie Betts.  Mookie is the right lead off hitter for the Dodgers because of his career propensity to get on base… but this year he is also putting it over the fence at a pretty good rate.  It may be time to bat Mookie 2nd or even third to give him an extra shot at RBI’s on those logballs.

Starting Lineups 

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, 1B Freddie Freeman, SS Trea Turner, C Will Smith, 2B Max Muncy, DH Justin Turner, CF Cody Bellinger, LF Chris Taylor, RF Gavin Lux

Pirates: 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes, DH Bryan Reynolds, 2B Michael Chavis, 1B Yoshitomo Tsutsugo, SS Diego Castillo, LF Ben Gamel, RF Jack Suwiski, CF Jake Marisnick, C Michael Perez 

Statistical Leaders 

Dodgers
Home Runs: Mookie Betts 5
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman .317
Wins: Walker Buehler 4

Pirates
Home Runs: Daniel Vogelbach 4
Batting Average: Ke’Bryan Hayes .333
Wins : Dillon Peters 3

Managers

Dodgers: Dave Roberts
Pirates: Derek Shelton

Weather Forecast

Sunny. 80*.  The 12:30 start time will find sunny skies and hot weather as Pittsburgh is enjoying a warm spring.  The game must play fast however because by 3PM the rain clouds will have moved in.  Nothing ruins a game more than a late inning rain storm.  Do it quick boys!  

 

 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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